Analysis of Electric and Masonry workers

The VARMAX Procedure

Number of Observations 54
Number of Pairwise Missing 0
Observation(s) eliminated by differencing 13

Simple Summary Statistics
Variable Type N Mean Standard
Deviation		 Min Max Difference Label
ELECTRIC Dependent 54 -0.62778 3.71018 -8.50000 8.70000 1,12 electrical workers, thousands
MASONRY Dependent 54 -1.08148 8.59798 -37.50000 14.40000 1,12 masonry workers, thousands


Analysis of Electric and Masonry workers

The VARMAX Procedure

Type of Model VAR(1)
Estimation Method Least Squares Estimation

Model Parameter Estimates
Equation Parameter Estimate Standard
Error		 t Value Pr > |t| Variable
ELECTRIC AR1_1_1 0.03597 0.12601 0.29 0.7765 ELECTRIC(t-1)
  AR1_1_2 0.18698 0.05500 3.40 0.0013 MASONRY(t-1)
MASONRY AR1_2_1 0.07509 0.30434 0.25 0.8061 ELECTRIC(t-1)
  AR1_2_2 -0.23583 0.13284 -1.78 0.0818 MASONRY(t-1)

Covariances of Innovations
Variable ELECTRIC MASONRY
ELECTRIC 11.73164 6.46274
MASONRY 6.46274 68.43011

Log-likelihood -226.78

Information Criteria
AICC 470.0491
HQC 472.864
AIC 467.5602
SBC 481.3523
FPEC 819.5501

Forecasts
Variable Obs Time Forecast Standard
Error		 95% Confidence Limits
ELECTRIC 68 AUG1982 314.88231 3.42515 308.16915 321.59548
  69 SEP1982 313.93701 5.40544 303.34254 324.53148
  70 OCT1982 313.71267 6.76387 300.45573 326.96960
  71 NOV1982 309.79202 7.91379 294.28129 325.30276
  72 DEC1982 305.89785 8.91150 288.43163 323.36407
  73 JAN1983 289.19622 9.80957 269.96981 308.42263
  74 FEB1983 283.39668 10.63172 262.55890 304.23446
  75 MAR1983 285.59655 11.39478 263.26319 307.92991
  76 APR1983 284.99659 12.10984 261.26174 308.73143
  77 MAY1983 290.79658 12.78497 265.73850 315.85465
  78 JUN1983 292.29658 13.42619 265.98173 318.61143
  79 JUL1983 294.89658 14.03816 267.38229 322.41086
MASONRY 68 AUG1982 273.66066 8.27225 257.44735 289.87397
  69 SEP1982 270.91246 10.44980 250.43124 291.39368
  70 OCT1982 260.68749 12.54852 236.09285 285.28214
  71 NOV1982 253.62265 14.26900 225.65592 281.58937
  72 DEC1982 238.31281 15.82207 207.30213 269.32348
  73 JAN1983 192.41556 17.23092 158.64359 226.18754
  74 FEB1983 202.91479 18.53424 166.58836 239.24123
  75 MAR1983 206.81501 19.75141 168.10295 245.52706
  76 APR1983 222.81495 20.89790 181.85581 263.77408
  77 MAY1983 238.51496 21.98466 195.42582 281.60411
  78 JUN1983 240.31496 23.02018 195.19624 285.43368
  79 JUL1983 248.51496 24.01108 201.45412 295.57580

DATE = Jul1982 Error = 0.42564827 DATE = Jun1982 Error = -5.74950610 DATE = May1982 Error = 2.19970414 DATE = Apr1982 Error = -1.69122127 DATE = Mar1982 Error = 1.75107378 DATE = Feb1982 Error = 2.16919747 DATE = Jan1982 Error = -4.97147223 DATE = Dec1981 Error = -1.00479713 DATE = Nov1981 Error = -2.27010528 DATE = Oct1981 Error = 1.57043469 DATE = Sep1981 Error = -5.18341448 DATE = Aug1981 Error = -0.60582102 DATE = Jul1981 Error = 0.02010258 DATE = Jun1981 Error = -3.07048368 DATE = May1981 Error = -0.32431053 DATE = Apr1981 Error = 7.43064253 DATE = Mar1981 Error = 0.13287084 DATE = Feb1981 Error = 0.30370626 DATE = Jan1981 Error = -0.88085930 DATE = Dec1980 Error = -2.33701677 DATE = Nov1980 Error = 2.32584361 DATE = Oct1980 Error = -6.03707265 DATE = Sep1980 Error = 5.47682257 DATE = Aug1980 Error = 2.34457310 DATE = Jul1980 Error = -7.01166871 DATE = Jun1980 Error = 0.40096442 DATE = May1980 Error = -4.66739581 DATE = Apr1980 Error = -1.29022944 DATE = Mar1980 Error = -4.78731788 DATE = Feb1980 Error = -0.93799738 DATE = Jan1980 Error = 0.32295108 DATE = Dec1979 Error = 2.39352344 DATE = Nov1979 Error = -2.87619804 DATE = Oct1979 Error = 3.60846054 DATE = Sep1979 Error = -2.93393325 DATE = Aug1979 Error = -4.58962438 DATE = Jul1979 Error = 4.48245694 DATE = Jun1979 Error = -3.68373267 DATE = May1979 Error = -4.51271673 DATE = Apr1979 Error = -3.21657938 DATE = Mar1979 Error = 0.01608818 DATE = Feb1979 Error = -0.62938299 DATE = Jan1979 Error = 2.49662495 DATE = Dec1978 Error = -0.43762332 DATE = Nov1978 Error = 3.51683419 DATE = Oct1978 Error = -0.86197415 DATE = Sep1978 Error = 1.92509505 DATE = Aug1978 Error = 1.22058944 DATE = Jul1978 Error = 2.33357357 DATE = Jun1978 Error = 5.31684604 DATE = May1978 Error = 7.37946389 DATE = Apr1978 Error = -3.00265570 DATE = Mar1978 Error = 0.72265162 DATE = Jul1982 Error = 0.42564827 DATE = Jun1982 Error = -5.74950610 DATE = May1982 Error = 2.19970414 DATE = Apr1982 Error = -1.69122127 DATE = Mar1982 Error = 1.75107378 DATE = Feb1982 Error = 2.16919747 DATE = Jan1982 Error = -4.97147223 DATE = Dec1981 Error = -1.00479713 DATE = Nov1981 Error = -2.27010528 DATE = Oct1981 Error = 1.57043469 DATE = Sep1981 Error = -5.18341448 DATE = Aug1981 Error = -0.60582102 DATE = Jul1981 Error = 0.02010258 DATE = Jun1981 Error = -3.07048368 DATE = May1981 Error = -0.32431053 DATE = Apr1981 Error = 7.43064253 DATE = Mar1981 Error = 0.13287084 DATE = Feb1981 Error = 0.30370626 DATE = Jan1981 Error = -0.88085930 DATE = Dec1980 Error = -2.33701677 DATE = Nov1980 Error = 2.32584361 DATE = Oct1980 Error = -6.03707265 DATE = Sep1980 Error = 5.47682257 DATE = Aug1980 Error = 2.34457310 DATE = Jul1980 Error = -7.01166871 DATE = Jun1980 Error = 0.40096442 DATE = May1980 Error = -4.66739581 DATE = Apr1980 Error = -1.29022944 DATE = Mar1980 Error = -4.78731788 DATE = Feb1980 Error = -0.93799738 DATE = Jan1980 Error = 0.32295108 DATE = Dec1979 Error = 2.39352344 DATE = Nov1979 Error = -2.87619804 DATE = Oct1979 Error = 3.60846054 DATE = Sep1979 Error = -2.93393325 DATE = Aug1979 Error = -4.58962438 DATE = Jul1979 Error = 4.48245694 DATE = Jun1979 Error = -3.68373267 DATE = May1979 Error = -4.51271673 DATE = Apr1979 Error = -3.21657938 DATE = Mar1979 Error = 0.01608818 DATE = Feb1979 Error = -0.62938299 DATE = Jan1979 Error = 2.49662495 DATE = Dec1978 Error = -0.43762332 DATE = Nov1978 Error = 3.51683419 DATE = Oct1978 Error = -0.86197415 DATE = Sep1978 Error = 1.92509505 DATE = Aug1978 Error = 1.22058944 DATE = Jul1978 Error = 2.33357357 DATE = Jun1978 Error = 5.31684604 DATE = May1978 Error = 7.37946389 DATE = Apr1978 Error = -3.00265570 DATE = Mar1978 Error = 0.72265162 DATE = Jul1982 Standard Error = 3.4251 -1*STD = -3.425 DATE = Jun1982 Standard Error = 3.4251 -1*STD = -3.425 DATE = Jun1982 Standard Error = 3.4251 -1*STD = -3.425 DATE = May1982 Standard Error = 3.4251 -1*STD = -3.425 DATE = May1982 Standard Error = 3.4251 -1*STD = -3.425 DATE = Apr1982 Standard Error = 3.4251 -1*STD = -3.425 DATE = Apr1982 Standard Error = 3.4251 -1*STD = -3.425 DATE = Mar1982 Standard Error = 3.4251 -1*STD = -3.425 DATE = Mar1982 Standard Error = 3.4251 -1*STD = -3.425 DATE = Feb1982 Standard Error = 3.4251 -1*STD = -3.425 DATE = Feb1982 Standard Error = 3.4251 -1*STD = -3.425 DATE = Jan1982 Standard Error = 3.4251 -1*STD = -3.425 DATE = Jan1982 Standard Error = 3.4251 -1*STD = -3.425 DATE = Dec1981 Standard Error = 3.4251 -1*STD = -3.425 DATE = Dec1981 Standard Error = 3.4251 -1*STD = -3.425 DATE = Nov1981 Standard Error = 3.4251 -1*STD = -3.425 DATE = Nov1981 Standard Error = 3.4251 -1*STD = -3.425 DATE = Oct1981 Standard Error = 3.4251 -1*STD = -3.425 DATE = Oct1981 Standard Error = 3.4251 -1*STD = -3.425 DATE = Sep1981 Standard Error = 3.4251 -1*STD = -3.425 DATE = Sep1981 Standard Error = 3.4251 -1*STD = -3.425 DATE = Aug1981 Standard Error = 3.4251 -1*STD = -3.425 DATE = Aug1981 Standard Error = 3.4251 -1*STD = -3.425 DATE = Jul1981 Standard Error = 3.4251 -1*STD = -3.425 DATE = Jul1981 Standard Error = 3.4251 -1*STD = -3.425 DATE = Jun1981 Standard Error = 3.4251 -1*STD = -3.425 DATE = Jun1981 Standard Error = 3.4251 -1*STD = -3.425 DATE = May1981 Standard Error = 3.4251 -1*STD = -3.425 DATE = May1981 Standard Error = 3.4251 -1*STD = -3.425 DATE = Apr1981 Standard Error = 3.4251 -1*STD = -3.425 DATE = Apr1981 Standard Error = 3.4251 -1*STD = -3.425 DATE = Mar1981 Standard Error = 3.4251 -1*STD = -3.425 DATE = Mar1981 Standard Error = 3.4251 -1*STD = -3.425 DATE = Feb1981 Standard Error = 3.4251 -1*STD = -3.425 DATE = Feb1981 Standard Error = 3.4251 -1*STD = -3.425 DATE = Jan1981 Standard Error = 3.4251 -1*STD = -3.425 DATE = Jan1981 Standard Error = 3.4251 -1*STD = -3.425 DATE = Dec1980 Standard Error = 3.4251 -1*STD = -3.425 DATE = Dec1980 Standard Error = 3.4251 -1*STD = -3.425 DATE = Nov1980 Standard Error = 3.4251 -1*STD = -3.425 DATE = Nov1980 Standard Error = 3.4251 -1*STD = -3.425 DATE = Oct1980 Standard Error = 3.4251 -1*STD = -3.425 DATE = Oct1980 Standard Error = 3.4251 -1*STD = -3.425 DATE = Sep1980 Standard Error = 3.4251 -1*STD = -3.425 DATE = Sep1980 Standard Error = 3.4251 -1*STD = -3.425 DATE = Aug1980 Standard Error = 3.4251 -1*STD = -3.425 DATE = Aug1980 Standard Error = 3.4251 -1*STD = -3.425 DATE = Jul1980 Standard Error = 3.4251 -1*STD = -3.425 DATE = Jul1980 Standard Error = 3.4251 -1*STD = -3.425 DATE = Jun1980 Standard Error = 3.4251 -1*STD = -3.425 DATE = Jun1980 Standard Error = 3.4251 -1*STD = -3.425 DATE = May1980 Standard Error = 3.4251 -1*STD = -3.425 DATE = May1980 Standard Error = 3.4251 -1*STD = -3.425 DATE = Apr1980 Standard Error = 3.4251 -1*STD = -3.425 DATE = Apr1980 Standard Error = 3.4251 -1*STD = -3.425 DATE = Mar1980 Standard Error = 3.4251 -1*STD = -3.425 DATE = Mar1980 Standard Error = 3.4251 -1*STD = -3.425 DATE = Feb1980 Standard Error = 3.4251 -1*STD = -3.425 DATE = Feb1980 Standard Error = 3.4251 -1*STD = -3.425 DATE = Jan1980 Standard Error = 3.4251 -1*STD = -3.425 DATE = Jan1980 Standard Error = 3.4251 -1*STD = -3.425 DATE = Dec1979 Standard Error = 3.4251 -1*STD = -3.425 DATE = Dec1979 Standard Error = 3.4251 -1*STD = -3.425 DATE = Nov1979 Standard Error = 3.4251 -1*STD = -3.425 DATE = Nov1979 Standard Error = 3.4251 -1*STD = -3.425 DATE = Oct1979 Standard Error = 3.4251 -1*STD = -3.425 DATE = Oct1979 Standard Error = 3.4251 -1*STD = -3.425 DATE = Sep1979 Standard Error = 3.4251 -1*STD = -3.425 DATE = Sep1979 Standard Error = 3.4251 -1*STD = -3.425 DATE = Aug1979 Standard Error = 3.4251 -1*STD = -3.425 DATE = Aug1979 Standard Error = 3.4251 -1*STD = -3.425 DATE = Jul1979 Standard Error = 3.4251 -1*STD = -3.425 DATE = Jul1979 Standard Error = 3.4251 -1*STD = -3.425 DATE = Jun1979 Standard Error = 3.4251 -1*STD = -3.425 DATE = Jun1979 Standard Error = 3.4251 -1*STD = -3.425 DATE = May1979 Standard Error = 3.4251 -1*STD = -3.425 DATE = May1979 Standard Error = 3.4251 -1*STD = -3.425 DATE = Apr1979 Standard Error = 3.4251 -1*STD = -3.425 DATE = Apr1979 Standard Error = 3.4251 -1*STD = -3.425 DATE = Mar1979 Standard Error = 3.4251 -1*STD = -3.425 DATE = Mar1979 Standard Error = 3.4251 -1*STD = -3.425 DATE = Feb1979 Standard Error = 3.4251 -1*STD = -3.425 DATE = Feb1979 Standard Error = 3.4251 -1*STD = -3.425 DATE = Jan1979 Standard Error = 3.4251 -1*STD = -3.425 DATE = Jan1979 Standard Error = 3.4251 -1*STD = -3.425 DATE = Dec1978 Standard Error = 3.4251 -1*STD = -3.425 DATE = Dec1978 Standard Error = 3.4251 -1*STD = -3.425 DATE = Nov1978 Standard Error = 3.4251 -1*STD = -3.425 DATE = Nov1978 Standard Error = 3.4251 -1*STD = -3.425 DATE = Oct1978 Standard Error = 3.4251 -1*STD = -3.425 DATE = Oct1978 Standard Error = 3.4251 -1*STD = -3.425 DATE = Sep1978 Standard Error = 3.4251 -1*STD = -3.425 DATE = Sep1978 Standard Error = 3.4251 -1*STD = -3.425 DATE = Aug1978 Standard Error = 3.4251 -1*STD = -3.425 DATE = Aug1978 Standard Error = 3.4251 -1*STD = -3.425 DATE = Jul1978 Standard Error = 3.4251 -1*STD = -3.425 DATE = Jul1978 Standard Error = 3.4251 -1*STD = -3.425 DATE = Jun1978 Standard Error = 3.4251 -1*STD = -3.425 DATE = Jun1978 Standard Error = 3.4251 -1*STD = -3.425 DATE = May1978 Standard Error = 3.4251 -1*STD = -3.425 DATE = May1978 Standard Error = 3.4251 -1*STD = -3.425 DATE = Apr1978 Standard Error = 3.4251 -1*STD = -3.425 DATE = Apr1978 Standard Error = 3.4251 -1*STD = -3.425 DATE = Mar1978 Standard Error = 3.4251 -1*STD = -3.425 DATE = Jul1982 2*STD = 6.8503 -2*STD = -6.85 DATE = Jun1982 2*STD = 6.8503 -2*STD = -6.85 DATE = Jun1982 2*STD = 6.8503 -2*STD = -6.85 DATE = May1982 2*STD = 6.8503 -2*STD = -6.85 DATE = May1982 2*STD = 6.8503 -2*STD = -6.85 DATE = Apr1982 2*STD = 6.8503 -2*STD = -6.85 DATE = Apr1982 2*STD = 6.8503 -2*STD = -6.85 DATE = Mar1982 2*STD = 6.8503 -2*STD = -6.85 DATE = Mar1982 2*STD = 6.8503 -2*STD = -6.85 DATE = Feb1982 2*STD = 6.8503 -2*STD = -6.85 DATE = Feb1982 2*STD = 6.8503 -2*STD = -6.85 DATE = Jan1982 2*STD = 6.8503 -2*STD = -6.85 DATE = Jan1982 2*STD = 6.8503 -2*STD = -6.85 DATE = Dec1981 2*STD = 6.8503 -2*STD = -6.85 DATE = Dec1981 2*STD = 6.8503 -2*STD = -6.85 DATE = Nov1981 2*STD = 6.8503 -2*STD = -6.85 DATE = Nov1981 2*STD = 6.8503 -2*STD = -6.85 DATE = Oct1981 2*STD = 6.8503 -2*STD = -6.85 DATE = Oct1981 2*STD = 6.8503 -2*STD = -6.85 DATE = Sep1981 2*STD = 6.8503 -2*STD = -6.85 DATE = Sep1981 2*STD = 6.8503 -2*STD = -6.85 DATE = Aug1981 2*STD = 6.8503 -2*STD = -6.85 DATE = Aug1981 2*STD = 6.8503 -2*STD = -6.85 DATE = Jul1981 2*STD = 6.8503 -2*STD = -6.85 DATE = Jul1981 2*STD = 6.8503 -2*STD = -6.85 DATE = Jun1981 2*STD = 6.8503 -2*STD = -6.85 DATE = Jun1981 2*STD = 6.8503 -2*STD = -6.85 DATE = May1981 2*STD = 6.8503 -2*STD = -6.85 DATE = May1981 2*STD = 6.8503 -2*STD = -6.85 DATE = Apr1981 2*STD = 6.8503 -2*STD = -6.85 DATE = Apr1981 2*STD = 6.8503 -2*STD = -6.85 DATE = Mar1981 2*STD = 6.8503 -2*STD = -6.85 DATE = Mar1981 2*STD = 6.8503 -2*STD = -6.85 DATE = Feb1981 2*STD = 6.8503 -2*STD = -6.85 DATE = Feb1981 2*STD = 6.8503 -2*STD = -6.85 DATE = Jan1981 2*STD = 6.8503 -2*STD = -6.85 DATE = Jan1981 2*STD = 6.8503 -2*STD = -6.85 DATE = Dec1980 2*STD = 6.8503 -2*STD = -6.85 DATE = Dec1980 2*STD = 6.8503 -2*STD = -6.85 DATE = Nov1980 2*STD = 6.8503 -2*STD = -6.85 DATE = Nov1980 2*STD = 6.8503 -2*STD = -6.85 DATE = Oct1980 2*STD = 6.8503 -2*STD = -6.85 DATE = Oct1980 2*STD = 6.8503 -2*STD = -6.85 DATE = Sep1980 2*STD = 6.8503 -2*STD = -6.85 DATE = Sep1980 2*STD = 6.8503 -2*STD = -6.85 DATE = Aug1980 2*STD = 6.8503 -2*STD = -6.85 DATE = Aug1980 2*STD = 6.8503 -2*STD = -6.85 DATE = Jul1980 2*STD = 6.8503 -2*STD = -6.85 DATE = Jul1980 2*STD = 6.8503 -2*STD = -6.85 DATE = Jun1980 2*STD = 6.8503 -2*STD = -6.85 DATE = Jun1980 2*STD = 6.8503 -2*STD = -6.85 DATE = May1980 2*STD = 6.8503 -2*STD = -6.85 DATE = May1980 2*STD = 6.8503 -2*STD = -6.85 DATE = Apr1980 2*STD = 6.8503 -2*STD = -6.85 DATE = Apr1980 2*STD = 6.8503 -2*STD = -6.85 DATE = Mar1980 2*STD = 6.8503 -2*STD = -6.85 DATE = Mar1980 2*STD = 6.8503 -2*STD = -6.85 DATE = Feb1980 2*STD = 6.8503 -2*STD = -6.85 DATE = Feb1980 2*STD = 6.8503 -2*STD = -6.85 DATE = Jan1980 2*STD = 6.8503 -2*STD = -6.85 DATE = Jan1980 2*STD = 6.8503 -2*STD = -6.85 DATE = Dec1979 2*STD = 6.8503 -2*STD = -6.85 DATE = Dec1979 2*STD = 6.8503 -2*STD = -6.85 DATE = Nov1979 2*STD = 6.8503 -2*STD = -6.85 DATE = Nov1979 2*STD = 6.8503 -2*STD = -6.85 DATE = Oct1979 2*STD = 6.8503 -2*STD = -6.85 DATE = Oct1979 2*STD = 6.8503 -2*STD = -6.85 DATE = Sep1979 2*STD = 6.8503 -2*STD = -6.85 DATE = Sep1979 2*STD = 6.8503 -2*STD = -6.85 DATE = Aug1979 2*STD = 6.8503 -2*STD = -6.85 DATE = Aug1979 2*STD = 6.8503 -2*STD = -6.85 DATE = Jul1979 2*STD = 6.8503 -2*STD = -6.85 DATE = Jul1979 2*STD = 6.8503 -2*STD = -6.85 DATE = Jun1979 2*STD = 6.8503 -2*STD = -6.85 DATE = Jun1979 2*STD = 6.8503 -2*STD = -6.85 DATE = May1979 2*STD = 6.8503 -2*STD = -6.85 DATE = May1979 2*STD = 6.8503 -2*STD = -6.85 DATE = Apr1979 2*STD = 6.8503 -2*STD = -6.85 DATE = Apr1979 2*STD = 6.8503 -2*STD = -6.85 DATE = Mar1979 2*STD = 6.8503 -2*STD = -6.85 DATE = Mar1979 2*STD = 6.8503 -2*STD = -6.85 DATE = Feb1979 2*STD = 6.8503 -2*STD = -6.85 DATE = Feb1979 2*STD = 6.8503 -2*STD = -6.85 DATE = Jan1979 2*STD = 6.8503 -2*STD = -6.85 DATE = Jan1979 2*STD = 6.8503 -2*STD = -6.85 DATE = Dec1978 2*STD = 6.8503 -2*STD = -6.85 DATE = Dec1978 2*STD = 6.8503 -2*STD = -6.85 DATE = Nov1978 2*STD = 6.8503 -2*STD = -6.85 DATE = Nov1978 2*STD = 6.8503 -2*STD = -6.85 DATE = Oct1978 2*STD = 6.8503 -2*STD = -6.85 DATE = Oct1978 2*STD = 6.8503 -2*STD = -6.85 DATE = Sep1978 2*STD = 6.8503 -2*STD = -6.85 DATE = Sep1978 2*STD = 6.8503 -2*STD = -6.85 DATE = Aug1978 2*STD = 6.8503 -2*STD = -6.85 DATE = Aug1978 2*STD = 6.8503 -2*STD = -6.85 DATE = Jul1978 2*STD = 6.8503 -2*STD = -6.85 DATE = Jul1978 2*STD = 6.8503 -2*STD = -6.85 DATE = Jun1978 2*STD = 6.8503 -2*STD = -6.85 DATE = Jun1978 2*STD = 6.8503 -2*STD = -6.85 DATE = May1978 2*STD = 6.8503 -2*STD = -6.85 DATE = May1978 2*STD = 6.8503 -2*STD = -6.85 DATE = Apr1978 2*STD = 6.8503 -2*STD = -6.85 DATE = Apr1978 2*STD = 6.8503 -2*STD = -6.85 DATE = Mar1978 2*STD = 6.8503 -2*STD = -6.85
Prediction Errors for ELECTRIC

Lag = 12 ACF = -0.3 Lag = 11 ACF = 0.1504 Lag = 10 ACF = -0.043 Lag = 9 ACF = -0.172 Lag = 8 ACF = 0.0647 Lag = 7 ACF = 0.0548 Lag = 6 ACF = -0.031 Lag = 5 ACF = 0.0261 Lag = 4 ACF = -0.077 Lag = 3 ACF = 0.1348 Lag = 2 ACF = 0.0882 Lag = 1 ACF = -0.127 Lag = 0 ACF = 1 Lag = 12 Lower = -0.304 Upper = 0.3037 Lag = 11 Lower = -0.298 Upper = 0.298 Lag = 11 Lower = -0.298 Upper = 0.298 Lag = 10 Lower = -0.298 Upper = 0.2975 Lag = 10 Lower = -0.298 Upper = 0.2975 Lag = 9 Lower = -0.29 Upper = 0.2899 Lag = 9 Lower = -0.29 Upper = 0.2899 Lag = 8 Lower = -0.289 Upper = 0.2888 Lag = 8 Lower = -0.289 Upper = 0.2888 Lag = 7 Lower = -0.288 Upper = 0.2881 Lag = 7 Lower = -0.288 Upper = 0.2881 Lag = 6 Lower = -0.288 Upper = 0.2878 Lag = 6 Lower = -0.288 Upper = 0.2878 Lag = 5 Lower = -0.288 Upper = 0.2876 Lag = 5 Lower = -0.288 Upper = 0.2876 Lag = 4 Lower = -0.286 Upper = 0.2861 Lag = 4 Lower = -0.286 Upper = 0.2861 Lag = 3 Lower = -0.281 Upper = 0.2812 Lag = 3 Lower = -0.281 Upper = 0.2812 Lag = 2 Lower = -0.279 Upper = 0.2791 Lag = 2 Lower = -0.279 Upper = 0.2791 Lag = 1 Lower = -0.275 Upper = 0.2747 Lag = 1 Lower = -0.275 Upper = 0.2747 Lag = 0 Lower = 0 Upper = 0
Prediction Error Autocorrelations for ELECTRIC

Lag = 12 PACF = -0.21 Lag = 11 PACF = 0.1721 Lag = 10 PACF = -0.131 Lag = 9 PACF = -0.167 Lag = 8 PACF = 0.0855 Lag = 7 PACF = 0.0673 Lag = 6 PACF = -0.041 Lag = 5 PACF = -0.017 Lag = 4 PACF = -0.05 Lag = 3 PACF = 0.1579 Lag = 2 PACF = 0.0732 Lag = 1 PACF = -0.127 Lag = 12 Lower = -0.275 Upper = 0.2747 Lag = 11 Lower = -0.275 Upper = 0.2747 Lag = 11 Lower = -0.275 Upper = 0.2747 Lag = 10 Lower = -0.275 Upper = 0.2747 Lag = 10 Lower = -0.275 Upper = 0.2747 Lag = 9 Lower = -0.275 Upper = 0.2747 Lag = 9 Lower = -0.275 Upper = 0.2747 Lag = 8 Lower = -0.275 Upper = 0.2747 Lag = 8 Lower = -0.275 Upper = 0.2747 Lag = 7 Lower = -0.275 Upper = 0.2747 Lag = 7 Lower = -0.275 Upper = 0.2747 Lag = 6 Lower = -0.275 Upper = 0.2747 Lag = 6 Lower = -0.275 Upper = 0.2747 Lag = 5 Lower = -0.275 Upper = 0.2747 Lag = 5 Lower = -0.275 Upper = 0.2747 Lag = 4 Lower = -0.275 Upper = 0.2747 Lag = 4 Lower = -0.275 Upper = 0.2747 Lag = 3 Lower = -0.275 Upper = 0.2747 Lag = 3 Lower = -0.275 Upper = 0.2747 Lag = 2 Lower = -0.275 Upper = 0.2747 Lag = 2 Lower = -0.275 Upper = 0.2747 Lag = 1 Lower = -0.275 Upper = 0.2747
Prediction Error Partial Autocorrelations for ELECTRIC

Lag = 12 IACF = 0.1812 Lag = 11 IACF = -0.115 Lag = 10 IACF = 0.0323 Lag = 9 IACF = 0.1478 Lag = 8 IACF = 0.0018 Lag = 7 IACF = -0.132 Lag = 6 IACF = -0.005 Lag = 5 IACF = 0.031 Lag = 4 IACF = 0.0855 Lag = 3 IACF = -0.077 Lag = 2 IACF = -0.161 Lag = 1 IACF = 0.0356 Lag = 0 IACF = 1 Lag = 12 Lower = -0.275 Upper = 0.2747 Lag = 11 Lower = -0.275 Upper = 0.2747 Lag = 11 Lower = -0.275 Upper = 0.2747 Lag = 10 Lower = -0.275 Upper = 0.2747 Lag = 10 Lower = -0.275 Upper = 0.2747 Lag = 9 Lower = -0.275 Upper = 0.2747 Lag = 9 Lower = -0.275 Upper = 0.2747 Lag = 8 Lower = -0.275 Upper = 0.2747 Lag = 8 Lower = -0.275 Upper = 0.2747 Lag = 7 Lower = -0.275 Upper = 0.2747 Lag = 7 Lower = -0.275 Upper = 0.2747 Lag = 6 Lower = -0.275 Upper = 0.2747 Lag = 6 Lower = -0.275 Upper = 0.2747 Lag = 5 Lower = -0.275 Upper = 0.2747 Lag = 5 Lower = -0.275 Upper = 0.2747 Lag = 4 Lower = -0.275 Upper = 0.2747 Lag = 4 Lower = -0.275 Upper = 0.2747 Lag = 3 Lower = -0.275 Upper = 0.2747 Lag = 3 Lower = -0.275 Upper = 0.2747 Lag = 2 Lower = -0.275 Upper = 0.2747 Lag = 2 Lower = -0.275 Upper = 0.2747 Lag = 1 Lower = -0.275 Upper = 0.2747
Prediction Error Inverse Autocorrelations for ELECTRIC

Y = 2 Y = 1.301 Lag = 12 Ljung-Box white-noise test p-value = .203 Lag = 11 Ljung-Box white-noise test p-value = .638 Lag = 10 Ljung-Box white-noise test p-value = .712 Lag = 9 Ljung-Box white-noise test p-value = .625 Lag = 8 Ljung-Box white-noise test p-value = .767 Lag = 7 Ljung-Box white-noise test p-value = .691 Lag = 6 Ljung-Box white-noise test p-value = .581 Lag = 5 Ljung-Box white-noise test p-value = .423 Lag = 4 Ljung-Box white-noise test p-value = .251 Lag = 3 Ljung-Box white-noise test p-value = .121 LIMITUPPER = 2.0 LIMITLOWER = 0.0 LIMITUPPER = 2.0 LIMITLOWER = 0.0
Prediction Error White Noise Plot for ELECTRIC (Log Scale)

Error = 12 Percent = 0.0796 Error = 12 Percent = 0.0934 Error = 12 Percent = 0.0934 Error = 12 Percent = 0.1093 Error = 12 Percent = 0.1093 Error = 12 Percent = 0.1274 Error = 12 Percent = 0.1274 Error = 12 Percent = 0.1479 Error = 12 Percent = 0.1479 Error = 11 Percent = 0.1711 Error = 11 Percent = 0.1711 Error = 11 Percent = 0.1972 Error = 11 Percent = 0.1972 Error = 11 Percent = 0.2265 Error = 11 Percent = 0.2265 Error = 11 Percent = 0.2592 Error = 11 Percent = 0.2592 Error = 11 Percent = 0.2956 Error = 11 Percent = 0.2956 Error = 11 Percent = 0.3359 Error = 11 Percent = 0.3359 Error = 11 Percent = 0.3803 Error = 11 Percent = 0.3803 Error = 11 Percent = 0.4291 Error = 11 Percent = 0.4291 Error = 11 Percent = 0.4824 Error = 11 Percent = 0.4824 Error = 10 Percent = 0.5406 Error = 10 Percent = 0.5406 Error = 10 Percent = 0.6037 Error = 10 Percent = 0.6037 Error = 10 Percent = 0.6718 Error = 10 Percent = 0.6718 Error = 10 Percent = 0.7452 Error = 10 Percent = 0.7452 Error = 10 Percent = 0.8239 Error = 10 Percent = 0.8239 Error = 10 Percent = 0.9079 Error = 10 Percent = 0.9079 Error = 10 Percent = 0.9972 Error = 10 Percent = 0.9972 Error = 10 Percent = 1.0919 Error = 10 Percent = 1.0919 Error = 10 Percent = 1.1918 Error = 10 Percent = 1.1918 Error = 9 Percent = 1.2969 Error = 9 Percent = 1.2969 Error = 9 Percent = 1.4071 Error = 9 Percent = 1.4071 Error = 9 Percent = 1.5221 Error = 9 Percent = 1.5221 Error = 9 Percent = 1.6418 Error = 9 Percent = 1.6418 Error = 9 Percent = 1.7659 Error = 9 Percent = 1.7659 Error = 9 Percent = 1.8943 Error = 9 Percent = 1.8943 Error = 9 Percent = 2.1627 Error = 9 Percent = 2.1627 Error = 8 Percent = 2.4448 Error = 8 Percent = 2.4448 Error = 8 Percent = 2.7386 Error = 8 Percent = 2.7386 Error = 8 Percent = 3.1979 Error = 8 Percent = 3.1979 Error = 8 Percent = 3.6775 Error = 8 Percent = 3.6775 Error = 7 Percent = 4.0091 Error = 7 Percent = 4.0091 Error = 7 Percent = 4.3524 Error = 7 Percent = 4.3524 Error = 7 Percent = 4.7105 Error = 7 Percent = 4.7105 Error = 7 Percent = 5.0876 Error = 7 Percent = 5.0876 Error = 7 Percent = 5.2849 Error = 7 Percent = 5.2849 Error = 6 Percent = 5.489 Error = 6 Percent = 5.489 Error = 6 Percent = 5.7007 Error = 6 Percent = 5.7007 Error = 6 Percent = 5.9208 Error = 6 Percent = 5.9208 Error = 6 Percent = 6.1501 Error = 6 Percent = 6.1501 Error = 6 Percent = 6.3894 Error = 6 Percent = 6.3894 Error = 6 Percent = 6.6397 Error = 6 Percent = 6.6397 Error = 6 Percent = 6.9016 Error = 6 Percent = 6.9016 Error = 6 Percent = 7.1761 Error = 6 Percent = 7.1761 Error = 6 Percent = 7.4639 Error = 6 Percent = 7.4639 Error = 5 Percent = 7.7656 Error = 5 Percent = 7.7656 Error = 5 Percent = 8.0819 Error = 5 Percent = 8.0819 Error = 5 Percent = 8.4134 Error = 5 Percent = 8.4134 Error = 5 Percent = 8.7603 Error = 5 Percent = 8.7603 Error = 5 Percent = 9.1232 Error = 5 Percent = 9.1232 Error = 5 Percent = 9.5021 Error = 5 Percent = 9.5021 Error = 5 Percent = 9.8973 Error = 5 Percent = 9.8973 Error = 5 Percent = 10.308 Error = 5 Percent = 10.308 Error = 4 Percent = 10.736 Error = 4 Percent = 10.736 Error = 4 Percent = 11.178 Error = 4 Percent = 11.178 Error = 4 Percent = 11.636 Error = 4 Percent = 11.636 Error = 4 Percent = 12.107 Error = 4 Percent = 12.107 Error = 3 Percent = 18.981 Error = 3 Percent = 18.981 Error = 2 Percent = 20.028 Error = 2 Percent = 20.028 Error = 2 Percent = 21.032 Error = 2 Percent = 21.032 Error = 2 Percent = 21.513 Error = 2 Percent = 21.513 Error = 2 Percent = 21.978 Error = 2 Percent = 21.978 Error = 2 Percent = 22.424 Error = 2 Percent = 22.424 Error = 2 Percent = 22.852 Error = 2 Percent = 22.852 Error = 2 Percent = 23.258 Error = 2 Percent = 23.258 Error = 2 Percent = 23.642 Error = 2 Percent = 23.642 Error = 1 Percent = 24.003 Error = 1 Percent = 24.003 Error = 1 Percent = 24.339 Error = 1 Percent = 24.339 Error = 1 Percent = 24.65 Error = 1 Percent = 24.65 Error = 1 Percent = 24.934 Error = 1 Percent = 24.934 Error = 1 Percent = 25.19 Error = 1 Percent = 25.19 Error = 1 Percent = 25.418 Error = 1 Percent = 25.418 Error = 1 Percent = 25.617 Error = 1 Percent = 25.617 Error = 1 Percent = 25.787 Error = 1 Percent = 25.787 Error = 1 Percent = 25.927 Error = 1 Percent = 25.927 Error = 0 Percent = 26.038 Error = 0 Percent = 26.038 Error = 0 Percent = 26.118 Error = 0 Percent = 26.118 Error = 0 Percent = 26.168 Error = 0 Percent = 26.168 Error = 0 Percent = 26.189 Error = 0 Percent = 26.189 Error = -0 Percent = 26.181 Error = -0 Percent = 26.181 Error = -0 Percent = 26.144 Error = -0 Percent = 26.144 Error = -0 Percent = 26.08 Error = -0 Percent = 26.08 Error = -0 Percent = 25.988 Error = -0 Percent = 25.988 Error = -0 Percent = 25.871 Error = -0 Percent = 25.871 Error = -1 Percent = 25.729 Error = -1 Percent = 25.729 Error = -1 Percent = 25.564 Error = -1 Percent = 25.564 Error = -1 Percent = 25.377 Error = -1 Percent = 25.377 Error = -1 Percent = 25.17 Error = -1 Percent = 25.17 Error = -1 Percent = 24.945 Error = -1 Percent = 24.945 Error = -1 Percent = 24.702 Error = -1 Percent = 24.702 Error = -1 Percent = 24.445 Error = -1 Percent = 24.445 Error = -4 Percent = 17.676 Error = -4 Percent = 17.676 Error = -4 Percent = 16.723 Error = -4 Percent = 16.723 Error = -4 Percent = 16.064 Error = -4 Percent = 16.064 Error = -5 Percent = 15.379 Error = -5 Percent = 15.379 Error = -5 Percent = 14.665 Error = -5 Percent = 14.665 Error = -5 Percent = 13.92 Error = -5 Percent = 13.92 Error = -5 Percent = 13.144 Error = -5 Percent = 13.144 Error = -6 Percent = 8.5193 Error = -6 Percent = 8.5193 Error = -7 Percent = 7.2658 Error = -7 Percent = 7.2658 Error = -7 Percent = 6.4634 Error = -7 Percent = 6.4634 Error = -7 Percent = 5.6979 Error = -7 Percent = 5.6979 Error = -7 Percent = 5.3313 Error = -7 Percent = 5.3313 Error = -7 Percent = 4.9766 Error = -7 Percent = 4.9766 Error = -8 Percent = 4.6345 Error = -8 Percent = 4.6345 Error = -8 Percent = 4.3055 Error = -8 Percent = 4.3055 Error = -8 Percent = 3.9901 Error = -8 Percent = 3.9901 Error = -8 Percent = 3.6887 Error = -8 Percent = 3.6887 Error = -8 Percent = 3.4017 Error = -8 Percent = 3.4017 Error = -8 Percent = 3.1291 Error = -8 Percent = 3.1291 Error = -8 Percent = 2.8711 Error = -8 Percent = 2.8711 Error = -8 Percent = 2.6277 Error = -8 Percent = 2.6277 Error = -8 Percent = 2.3987 Error = -8 Percent = 2.3987 Error = -9 Percent = 2.184 Error = -9 Percent = 2.184 Error = -9 Percent = 1.9832 Error = -9 Percent = 1.9832 Error = -9 Percent = 1.7962 Error = -9 Percent = 1.7962 Error = -9 Percent = 1.6224 Error = -9 Percent = 1.6224 Error = -9 Percent = 1.4616 Error = -9 Percent = 1.4616 Error = -9 Percent = 1.313 Error = -9 Percent = 1.313 Error = -9 Percent = 1.1764 Error = -9 Percent = 1.1764 Error = -9 Percent = 1.051 Error = -9 Percent = 1.051 Error = -9 Percent = 0.9364 Error = -9 Percent = 0.9364 Error = -10 Percent = 0.832 Error = -10 Percent = 0.832 Error = -10 Percent = 0.7371 Error = -10 Percent = 0.7371 Error = -10 Percent = 0.6511 Error = -10 Percent = 0.6511 Error = -10 Percent = 0.5735 Error = -10 Percent = 0.5735 Error = -10 Percent = 0.5037 Error = -10 Percent = 0.5037 Error = -10 Percent = 0.4411 Error = -10 Percent = 0.4411 Error = -10 Percent = 0.3851 Error = -10 Percent = 0.3851 Error = -10 Percent = 0.3353 Error = -10 Percent = 0.3353 Error = -11 Percent = 0.291 Error = -11 Percent = 0.291 Error = -11 Percent = 0.2517 Error = -11 Percent = 0.2517 Error = -11 Percent = 0.2172 Error = -11 Percent = 0.2172 Error = -11 Percent = 0.1867 Error = -11 Percent = 0.1867 Error = -11 Percent = 0.1601 Error = -11 Percent = 0.1601 Error = -11 Percent = 0.1368 Error = -11 Percent = 0.1368 Error = -11 Percent = 0.1165 Error = -11 Percent = 0.1165 Error = -11 Percent = 0.099 Error = -11 Percent = 0.099 Error = -11 Percent = 0.0838 Error = -11 Percent = 0.0838 Error = -12 Percent = 0.0707 Error = -12 Percent = 0.0707 Error = -12 Percent = 0.0594 Error = 10 Percent = 0.3282 Error = 10 Percent = 0.3593 Error = 10 Percent = 0.3593 Error = 10 Percent = 0.3929 Error = 10 Percent = 0.3929 Error = 9 Percent = 0.4293 Error = 9 Percent = 0.4293 Error = 9 Percent = 0.4687 Error = 9 Percent = 0.4687 Error = 9 Percent = 0.5111 Error = 9 Percent = 0.5111 Error = 9 Percent = 0.557 Error = 9 Percent = 0.557 Error = 9 Percent = 0.6063 Error = 9 Percent = 0.6063 Error = 9 Percent = 0.6595 Error = 9 Percent = 0.6595 Error = 9 Percent = 0.7166 Error = 9 Percent = 0.7166 Error = 9 Percent = 0.778 Error = 9 Percent = 0.778 Error = 9 Percent = 0.8439 Error = 9 Percent = 0.8439 Error = 9 Percent = 0.9145 Error = 9 Percent = 0.9145 Error = 8 Percent = 0.9901 Error = 8 Percent = 0.9901 Error = 8 Percent = 1.071 Error = 8 Percent = 1.071 Error = 8 Percent = 1.1574 Error = 8 Percent = 1.1574 Error = 8 Percent = 1.2496 Error = 8 Percent = 1.2496 Error = 8 Percent = 1.3479 Error = 8 Percent = 1.3479 Error = 8 Percent = 1.4527 Error = 8 Percent = 1.4527 Error = 8 Percent = 1.5641 Error = 8 Percent = 1.5641 Error = 8 Percent = 1.6826 Error = 8 Percent = 1.6826 Error = 8 Percent = 1.8084 Error = 8 Percent = 1.8084 Error = 8 Percent = 1.9418 Error = 8 Percent = 1.9418 Error = 7 Percent = 2.0831 Error = 7 Percent = 2.0831 Error = 7 Percent = 2.2326 Error = 7 Percent = 2.2326 Error = 7 Percent = 2.3907 Error = 7 Percent = 2.3907 Error = 7 Percent = 2.5576 Error = 7 Percent = 2.5576 Error = 7 Percent = 2.7337 Error = 7 Percent = 2.7337 Error = 7 Percent = 2.9192 Error = 7 Percent = 2.9192 Error = 7 Percent = 3.1144 Error = 7 Percent = 3.1144 Error = 7 Percent = 3.3197 Error = 7 Percent = 3.3197 Error = 7 Percent = 3.5352 Error = 7 Percent = 3.5352 Error = 7 Percent = 3.7612 Error = 7 Percent = 3.7612 Error = 6 Percent = 3.9981 Error = 6 Percent = 3.9981 Error = 6 Percent = 4.2459 Error = 6 Percent = 4.2459 Error = 6 Percent = 4.505 Error = 6 Percent = 4.505 Error = 6 Percent = 4.7755 Error = 6 Percent = 4.7755 Error = 6 Percent = 5.0576 Error = 6 Percent = 5.0576 Error = 6 Percent = 5.3515 Error = 6 Percent = 5.3515 Error = 6 Percent = 5.6572 Error = 6 Percent = 5.6572 Error = 6 Percent = 5.9749 Error = 6 Percent = 5.9749 Error = 6 Percent = 6.3046 Error = 6 Percent = 6.3046 Error = 6 Percent = 6.6464 Error = 6 Percent = 6.6464 Error = 5 Percent = 7.0004 Error = 5 Percent = 7.0004 Error = 5 Percent = 7.3664 Error = 5 Percent = 7.3664 Error = 5 Percent = 7.7444 Error = 5 Percent = 7.7444 Error = 5 Percent = 8.5362 Error = 5 Percent = 8.5362 Error = 5 Percent = 9.3743 Error = 5 Percent = 9.3743 Error = 5 Percent = 10.257 Error = 5 Percent = 10.257 Error = 4 Percent = 11.182 Error = 4 Percent = 11.182 Error = 4 Percent = 12.145 Error = 4 Percent = 12.145 Error = 3 Percent = 20.079 Error = 3 Percent = 20.079 Error = 2 Percent = 21.659 Error = 2 Percent = 21.659 Error = 2 Percent = 22.677 Error = 2 Percent = 22.677 Error = 2 Percent = 23.655 Error = 2 Percent = 23.655 Error = 2 Percent = 24.586 Error = 2 Percent = 24.586 Error = 2 Percent = 25.03 Error = 2 Percent = 25.03 Error = 2 Percent = 25.459 Error = 2 Percent = 25.459 Error = 1 Percent = 25.871 Error = 1 Percent = 25.871 Error = 1 Percent = 26.266 Error = 1 Percent = 26.266 Error = 1 Percent = 26.643 Error = 1 Percent = 26.643 Error = 1 Percent = 27 Error = 1 Percent = 27 Error = 1 Percent = 27.336 Error = 1 Percent = 27.336 Error = 1 Percent = 27.652 Error = 1 Percent = 27.652 Error = 1 Percent = 27.946 Error = 1 Percent = 27.946 Error = 1 Percent = 28.216 Error = 1 Percent = 28.216 Error = 1 Percent = 28.464 Error = 1 Percent = 28.464 Error = 0 Percent = 28.687 Error = 0 Percent = 28.687 Error = 0 Percent = 28.885 Error = 0 Percent = 28.885 Error = 0 Percent = 29.058 Error = 0 Percent = 29.058 Error = 0 Percent = 29.205 Error = 0 Percent = 29.205 Error = 0 Percent = 29.326 Error = 0 Percent = 29.326 Error = -0 Percent = 29.42 Error = -0 Percent = 29.42 Error = -0 Percent = 29.488 Error = -0 Percent = 29.488 Error = -0 Percent = 29.529 Error = -0 Percent = 29.529 Error = -0 Percent = 29.542 Error = -0 Percent = 29.542 Error = -0 Percent = 29.529 Error = -0 Percent = 29.529 Error = -1 Percent = 29.488 Error = -1 Percent = 29.488 Error = -1 Percent = 29.42 Error = -1 Percent = 29.42 Error = -1 Percent = 29.326 Error = -1 Percent = 29.326 Error = -1 Percent = 29.205 Error = -1 Percent = 29.205 Error = -1 Percent = 29.058 Error = -1 Percent = 29.058 Error = -1 Percent = 28.885 Error = -1 Percent = 28.885 Error = -1 Percent = 28.687 Error = -1 Percent = 28.687 Error = -1 Percent = 28.464 Error = -1 Percent = 28.464 Error = -1 Percent = 28.216 Error = -1 Percent = 28.216 Error = -1 Percent = 27.946 Error = -1 Percent = 27.946 Error = -2 Percent = 27.652 Error = -2 Percent = 27.652 Error = -2 Percent = 27.336 Error = -2 Percent = 27.336 Error = -2 Percent = 27 Error = -2 Percent = 27 Error = -2 Percent = 26.643 Error = -2 Percent = 26.643 Error = -2 Percent = 26.266 Error = -2 Percent = 26.266 Error = -2 Percent = 25.871 Error = -2 Percent = 25.871 Error = -2 Percent = 25.459 Error = -2 Percent = 25.459 Error = -2 Percent = 25.03 Error = -2 Percent = 25.03 Error = -2 Percent = 24.586 Error = -2 Percent = 24.586 Error = -3 Percent = 23.655 Error = -3 Percent = 23.655 Error = -3 Percent = 22.677 Error = -3 Percent = 22.677 Error = -4 Percent = 16.294 Error = -4 Percent = 16.294 Error = -4 Percent = 14.171 Error = -4 Percent = 14.171 Error = -5 Percent = 12.64 Error = -5 Percent = 12.64 Error = -5 Percent = 11.659 Error = -5 Percent = 11.659 Error = -5 Percent = 10.714 Error = -5 Percent = 10.714 Error = -5 Percent = 9.8103 Error = -5 Percent = 9.8103 Error = -6 Percent = 8.9495 Error = -6 Percent = 8.9495 Error = -6 Percent = 8.1344 Error = -6 Percent = 8.1344 Error = -6 Percent = 7.7444 Error = -6 Percent = 7.7444 Error = -6 Percent = 7.3664 Error = -6 Percent = 7.3664 Error = -6 Percent = 7.0004 Error = -6 Percent = 7.0004 Error = -6 Percent = 6.6464 Error = -6 Percent = 6.6464 Error = -6 Percent = 6.3046 Error = -6 Percent = 6.3046 Error = -6 Percent = 5.9749 Error = -6 Percent = 5.9749 Error = -6 Percent = 5.6572 Error = -6 Percent = 5.6572 Error = -7 Percent = 5.3515 Error = -7 Percent = 5.3515 Error = -7 Percent = 5.0576 Error = -7 Percent = 5.0576 Error = -7 Percent = 4.7755 Error = -7 Percent = 4.7755 Error = -7 Percent = 4.505 Error = -7 Percent = 4.505 Error = -7 Percent = 4.2459 Error = -7 Percent = 4.2459 Error = -7 Percent = 3.9981 Error = -7 Percent = 3.9981 Error = -7 Percent = 3.7612 Error = -7 Percent = 3.7612 Error = -7 Percent = 3.5352 Error = -7 Percent = 3.5352 Error = -7 Percent = 3.3197 Error = -7 Percent = 3.3197 Error = -7 Percent = 3.1144 Error = -7 Percent = 3.1144 Error = -8 Percent = 2.9192 Error = -8 Percent = 2.9192 Error = -8 Percent = 2.7337 Error = -8 Percent = 2.7337 Error = -8 Percent = 2.5576 Error = -8 Percent = 2.5576 Error = -8 Percent = 2.3907 Error = -8 Percent = 2.3907 Error = -8 Percent = 2.2326 Error = -8 Percent = 2.2326 Error = -8 Percent = 2.0831 Error = -8 Percent = 2.0831 Error = -8 Percent = 1.9418 Error = -8 Percent = 1.9418 Error = -8 Percent = 1.8084 Error = -8 Percent = 1.8084 Error = -8 Percent = 1.6826 Error = -8 Percent = 1.6826 Error = -9 Percent = 1.5641 Error = -9 Percent = 1.5641 Error = -9 Percent = 1.4527 Error = -9 Percent = 1.4527 Error = -9 Percent = 1.3479 Error = -9 Percent = 1.3479 Error = -9 Percent = 1.2496 Error = -9 Percent = 1.2496 Error = -9 Percent = 1.1574 Error = -9 Percent = 1.1574 Error = -9 Percent = 1.071 Error = -9 Percent = 1.071 Error = -9 Percent = 0.9901 Error = -9 Percent = 0.9901 Error = -9 Percent = 0.9145 Error = -9 Percent = 0.9145 Error = -9 Percent = 0.8439 Error = -9 Percent = 0.8439 Error = -9 Percent = 0.778 Error = -9 Percent = 0.778 Error = -10 Percent = 0.7166 Error = -10 Percent = 0.7166 Error = -10 Percent = 0.6595 Error = -10 Percent = 0.6595 Error = -10 Percent = 0.6063 Error = -10 Percent = 0.6063 Error = -10 Percent = 0.557 Error = -10 Percent = 0.557 Error = -10 Percent = 0.5111 Error = -10 Percent = 0.5111 Error = -10 Percent = 0.4687 Error = -10 Percent = 0.4687 Error = -10 Percent = 0.4293 Error = -10 Percent = 0.4293 Error = -10 Percent = 0.3929 Error = -10 Percent = 0.3929 Error = -10 Percent = 0.3593 Error = -10 Percent = 0.3593 Error = -10 Percent = 0.3282 Error = 6 Percent = 7.5472 Error = 6 Percent = 7.5472 Error = 4 Percent = 5.6604 Error = 4 Percent = 5.6604 Error = 1 Percent = 35.849 Error = 1 Percent = 35.849 Error = -1 Percent = 22.642 Error = -1 Percent = 22.642 Error = -4 Percent = 20.755 Error = -4 Percent = 20.755 Error = -6 Percent = 7.5472 Error = -6 Percent = 7.5472
Distribution of Prediction Errors for ELECTRIC

Quantile = 2.2656 Residual = 7.43064253 Quantile = 1.8733 Residual = 7.37946389 Quantile = 1.6517 Residual = 5.47682257 Quantile = 1.4903 Residual = 5.31684604 Quantile = 1.3604 Residual = 4.48245694 Quantile = 1.2501 Residual = 3.60846054 Quantile = 1.1532 Residual = 3.51683419 Quantile = 1.0661 Residual = 2.49662495 Quantile = 0.9864 Residual = 2.39352344 Quantile = 0.9125 Residual = 2.34457310 Quantile = 0.8433 Residual = 2.33357357 Quantile = 0.7779 Residual = 2.32584361 Quantile = 0.7157 Residual = 2.19970414 Quantile = 0.6561 Residual = 2.16919747 Quantile = 0.5988 Residual = 1.92509505 Quantile = 0.5434 Residual = 1.75107378 Quantile = 0.4896 Residual = 1.57043469 Quantile = 0.4372 Residual = 1.22058944 Quantile = 0.386 Residual = 0.72265162 Quantile = 0.3357 Residual = 0.42564827 Quantile = 0.2863 Residual = 0.40096442 Quantile = 0.2376 Residual = 0.32295108 Quantile = 0.1894 Residual = 0.30370626 Quantile = 0.1417 Residual = 0.13287084 Quantile = 0.0943 Residual = 0.02010258 Quantile = 0.0471 Residual = 0.01608818 Quantile = -1E-17 Residual = -0.32431053 Quantile = -0.047 Residual = -0.43762332 Quantile = -0.094 Residual = -0.60582102 Quantile = -0.142 Residual = -0.62938299 Quantile = -0.189 Residual = -0.86197415 Quantile = -0.238 Residual = -0.88085930 Quantile = -0.286 Residual = -0.93799738 Quantile = -0.336 Residual = -1.00479713 Quantile = -0.386 Residual = -1.29022944 Quantile = -0.437 Residual = -1.69122127 Quantile = -0.49 Residual = -2.27010528 Quantile = -0.543 Residual = -2.33701677 Quantile = -0.599 Residual = -2.87619804 Quantile = -0.656 Residual = -2.93393325 Quantile = -0.716 Residual = -3.00265570 Quantile = -0.778 Residual = -3.07048368 Quantile = -0.843 Residual = -3.21657938 Quantile = -0.913 Residual = -3.68373267 Quantile = -0.986 Residual = -4.51271673 Quantile = -1.066 Residual = -4.58962438 Quantile = -1.153 Residual = -4.66739581 Quantile = -1.25 Residual = -4.78731788 Quantile = -1.36 Residual = -4.97147223 Quantile = -1.49 Residual = -5.18341448 Quantile = -1.652 Residual = -5.74950610 Quantile = -1.873 Residual = -6.03707265 Quantile = -2.266 Residual = -7.01166871 Slope = 3.376 Y = -0.326
Prediction Error Q-Q plot for ELECTRIC

DATE = Jul1982 Forecasts = 307.1744 DATE = Jun1982 Forecasts = 310.7495 DATE = Jun1982 Forecasts = 310.7495 DATE = May1982 Forecasts = 301.3003 DATE = May1982 Forecasts = 301.3003 DATE = Apr1982 Forecasts = 299.3912 DATE = Apr1982 Forecasts = 299.3912 DATE = Mar1982 Forecasts = 296.5489 DATE = Mar1982 Forecasts = 296.5489 DATE = Feb1982 Forecasts = 293.9308 DATE = Feb1982 Forecasts = 293.9308 DATE = Jan1982 Forecasts = 306.8715 DATE = Jan1982 Forecasts = 306.8715 DATE = Dec1981 Forecasts = 319.6048 DATE = Dec1981 Forecasts = 319.6048 DATE = Nov1981 Forecasts = 324.7701 DATE = Nov1981 Forecasts = 324.7701 DATE = Oct1981 Forecasts = 324.8296 DATE = Oct1981 Forecasts = 324.8296 DATE = Sep1981 Forecasts = 331.8834 DATE = Sep1981 Forecasts = 331.8834 DATE = Aug1981 Forecasts = 328.0058 DATE = Aug1981 Forecasts = 328.0058 DATE = Jul1981 Forecasts = 321.2799 DATE = Jul1981 Forecasts = 321.2799 DATE = Jun1981 Forecasts = 321.3705 DATE = Jun1981 Forecasts = 321.3705 DATE = May1981 Forecasts = 313.9243 DATE = May1981 Forecasts = 313.9243 DATE = Apr1981 Forecasts = 303.6694 DATE = Apr1981 Forecasts = 303.6694 DATE = Mar1981 Forecasts = 308.3671 DATE = Mar1981 Forecasts = 308.3671 DATE = Feb1981 Forecasts = 309.7963 DATE = Feb1981 Forecasts = 309.7963 DATE = Jan1981 Forecasts = 317.0809 DATE = Jan1981 Forecasts = 317.0809 DATE = Dec1980 Forecasts = 329.5370 DATE = Dec1980 Forecasts = 329.5370 DATE = Nov1980 Forecasts = 328.2742 DATE = Nov1980 Forecasts = 328.2742 DATE = Oct1980 Forecasts = 335.3371 DATE = Oct1980 Forecasts = 335.3371 DATE = Sep1980 Forecasts = 325.3232 DATE = Sep1980 Forecasts = 325.3232 DATE = Aug1980 Forecasts = 324.0554 DATE = Aug1980 Forecasts = 324.0554 DATE = Jul1980 Forecasts = 326.5117 DATE = Jul1980 Forecasts = 326.5117 DATE = Jun1980 Forecasts = 315.8990 DATE = Jun1980 Forecasts = 315.8990 DATE = May1980 Forecasts = 313.2674 DATE = May1980 Forecasts = 313.2674 DATE = Apr1980 Forecasts = 307.7902 DATE = Apr1980 Forecasts = 307.7902 DATE = Mar1980 Forecasts = 317.3873 DATE = Mar1980 Forecasts = 317.3873 DATE = Feb1980 Forecasts = 316.6380 DATE = Feb1980 Forecasts = 316.6380 DATE = Jan1980 Forecasts = 319.9770 DATE = Jan1980 Forecasts = 319.9770 DATE = Dec1979 Forecasts = 327.1065 DATE = Dec1979 Forecasts = 327.1065 DATE = Nov1979 Forecasts = 332.5762 DATE = Nov1979 Forecasts = 332.5762 DATE = Oct1979 Forecasts = 326.7915 DATE = Oct1979 Forecasts = 326.7915 DATE = Sep1979 Forecasts = 329.9339 DATE = Sep1979 Forecasts = 329.9339 DATE = Aug1979 Forecasts = 332.2896 DATE = Aug1979 Forecasts = 332.2896 DATE = Jul1979 Forecasts = 318.3175 DATE = Jul1979 Forecasts = 318.3175 DATE = Jun1979 Forecasts = 315.7837 DATE = Jun1979 Forecasts = 315.7837 DATE = May1979 Forecasts = 307.8127 DATE = May1979 Forecasts = 307.8127 DATE = Apr1979 Forecasts = 300.1166 DATE = Apr1979 Forecasts = 300.1166 DATE = Mar1979 Forecasts = 294.4839 DATE = Mar1979 Forecasts = 294.4839 DATE = Feb1979 Forecasts = 292.7294 DATE = Feb1979 Forecasts = 292.7294 DATE = Jan1979 Forecasts = 295.7034 DATE = Jan1979 Forecasts = 295.7034 DATE = Dec1978 Forecasts = 308.0376 DATE = Dec1978 Forecasts = 308.0376 DATE = Nov1978 Forecasts = 306.5832 DATE = Nov1978 Forecasts = 306.5832 DATE = Oct1978 Forecasts = 309.0620 DATE = Oct1978 Forecasts = 309.0620 DATE = Sep1978 Forecasts = 305.8749 DATE = Sep1978 Forecasts = 305.8749 DATE = Aug1978 Forecasts = 303.8794 DATE = Aug1978 Forecasts = 303.8794 DATE = Jul1978 Forecasts = 294.2664 DATE = Jul1978 Forecasts = 294.2664 DATE = Jun1978 Forecasts = 284.1832 DATE = Jun1978 Forecasts = 284.1832 DATE = May1978 Forecasts = 270.6205 DATE = May1978 Forecasts = 270.6205 DATE = Apr1978 Forecasts = 266.6027 DATE = Apr1978 Forecasts = 266.6027 DATE = Mar1978 Forecasts = 259.1773 DATE = Jul1982 ELECTRIC = 307.6000 DATE = Jun1982 ELECTRIC = 305.0000 DATE = May1982 ELECTRIC = 303.5000 DATE = Apr1982 ELECTRIC = 297.7000 DATE = Mar1982 ELECTRIC = 298.3000 DATE = Feb1982 ELECTRIC = 296.1000 DATE = Jan1982 ELECTRIC = 301.9000 DATE = Dec1981 ELECTRIC = 318.6000 DATE = Nov1981 ELECTRIC = 322.5000 DATE = Oct1981 ELECTRIC = 326.4000 DATE = Sep1981 ELECTRIC = 326.7000 DATE = Aug1981 ELECTRIC = 327.4000 DATE = Jul1981 ELECTRIC = 321.3000 DATE = Jun1981 ELECTRIC = 318.3000 DATE = May1981 ELECTRIC = 313.6000 DATE = Apr1981 ELECTRIC = 311.1000 DATE = Mar1981 ELECTRIC = 308.5000 DATE = Feb1981 ELECTRIC = 310.1000 DATE = Jan1981 ELECTRIC = 316.2000 DATE = Dec1980 ELECTRIC = 327.2000 DATE = Nov1980 ELECTRIC = 330.6000 DATE = Oct1980 ELECTRIC = 329.3000 DATE = Sep1980 ELECTRIC = 330.8000 DATE = Aug1980 ELECTRIC = 326.4000 DATE = Jul1980 ELECTRIC = 319.5000 DATE = Jun1980 ELECTRIC = 316.3000 DATE = May1980 ELECTRIC = 308.6000 DATE = Apr1980 ELECTRIC = 306.5000 DATE = Mar1980 ELECTRIC = 312.6000 DATE = Feb1980 ELECTRIC = 315.7000 DATE = Jan1980 ELECTRIC = 320.3000 DATE = Dec1979 ELECTRIC = 329.5000 DATE = Nov1979 ELECTRIC = 329.7000 DATE = Oct1979 ELECTRIC = 330.4000 DATE = Sep1979 ELECTRIC = 327.0000 DATE = Aug1979 ELECTRIC = 327.7000 DATE = Jul1979 ELECTRIC = 322.8000 DATE = Jun1979 ELECTRIC = 312.1000 DATE = May1979 ELECTRIC = 303.3000 DATE = Apr1979 ELECTRIC = 296.9000 DATE = Mar1979 ELECTRIC = 294.5000 DATE = Feb1979 ELECTRIC = 292.1000 DATE = Jan1979 ELECTRIC = 298.2000 DATE = Dec1978 ELECTRIC = 307.6000 DATE = Nov1978 ELECTRIC = 310.1000 DATE = Oct1978 ELECTRIC = 308.2000 DATE = Sep1978 ELECTRIC = 307.8000 DATE = Aug1978 ELECTRIC = 305.1000 DATE = Jul1978 ELECTRIC = 296.6000 DATE = Jun1978 ELECTRIC = 289.5000 DATE = May1978 ELECTRIC = 278.0000 DATE = Apr1978 ELECTRIC = 263.6000 DATE = Mar1978 ELECTRIC = 259.9000 DATE = Feb1978 ELECTRIC = 256.2000 DATE = Jan1978 ELECTRIC = 262.1000 DATE = Dec1977 ELECTRIC = 274.6000 DATE = Nov1977 ELECTRIC = 276.2000 DATE = Oct1977 ELECTRIC = 278.6000 DATE = Sep1977 ELECTRIC = 277.1000 DATE = Aug1977 ELECTRIC = 276.1000 DATE = Jul1977 ELECTRIC = 268.1000 DATE = Jun1977 ELECTRIC = 262.8000 DATE = May1977 ELECTRIC = 255.7000 DATE = Apr1977 ELECTRIC = 249.6000 DATE = Mar1977 ELECTRIC = 245.5000 DATE = Feb1977 ELECTRIC = 239.3000 DATE = Jan1977 ELECTRIC = 241.9000 DATE = Jul1982 Upper 95% = 313.8875 Lower 95% = 300.4612 DATE = Jun1982 Upper 95% = 317.4627 Lower 95% = 304.0363 DATE = Jun1982 Upper 95% = 317.4627 Lower 95% = 304.0363 DATE = May1982 Upper 95% = 308.0135 Lower 95% = 294.5871 DATE = May1982 Upper 95% = 308.0135 Lower 95% = 294.5871 DATE = Apr1982 Upper 95% = 306.1044 Lower 95% = 292.6781 DATE = Apr1982 Upper 95% = 306.1044 Lower 95% = 292.6781 DATE = Mar1982 Upper 95% = 303.2621 Lower 95% = 289.8358 DATE = Mar1982 Upper 95% = 303.2621 Lower 95% = 289.8358 DATE = Feb1982 Upper 95% = 300.6440 Lower 95% = 287.2176 DATE = Feb1982 Upper 95% = 300.6440 Lower 95% = 287.2176 DATE = Jan1982 Upper 95% = 313.5846 Lower 95% = 300.1583 DATE = Jan1982 Upper 95% = 313.5846 Lower 95% = 300.1583 DATE = Dec1981 Upper 95% = 326.3180 Lower 95% = 312.8916 DATE = Dec1981 Upper 95% = 326.3180 Lower 95% = 312.8916 DATE = Nov1981 Upper 95% = 331.4833 Lower 95% = 318.0569 DATE = Nov1981 Upper 95% = 331.4833 Lower 95% = 318.0569 DATE = Oct1981 Upper 95% = 331.5427 Lower 95% = 318.1164 DATE = Oct1981 Upper 95% = 331.5427 Lower 95% = 318.1164 DATE = Sep1981 Upper 95% = 338.5966 Lower 95% = 325.1702 DATE = Sep1981 Upper 95% = 338.5966 Lower 95% = 325.1702 DATE = Aug1981 Upper 95% = 334.7190 Lower 95% = 321.2927 DATE = Aug1981 Upper 95% = 334.7190 Lower 95% = 321.2927 DATE = Jul1981 Upper 95% = 327.9931 Lower 95% = 314.5667 DATE = Jul1981 Upper 95% = 327.9931 Lower 95% = 314.5667 DATE = Jun1981 Upper 95% = 328.0836 Lower 95% = 314.6573 DATE = Jun1981 Upper 95% = 328.0836 Lower 95% = 314.6573 DATE = May1981 Upper 95% = 320.6375 Lower 95% = 307.2111 DATE = May1981 Upper 95% = 320.6375 Lower 95% = 307.2111 DATE = Apr1981 Upper 95% = 310.3825 Lower 95% = 296.9562 DATE = Apr1981 Upper 95% = 310.3825 Lower 95% = 296.9562 DATE = Mar1981 Upper 95% = 315.0803 Lower 95% = 301.6540 DATE = Mar1981 Upper 95% = 315.0803 Lower 95% = 301.6540 DATE = Feb1981 Upper 95% = 316.5095 Lower 95% = 303.0831 DATE = Feb1981 Upper 95% = 316.5095 Lower 95% = 303.0831 DATE = Jan1981 Upper 95% = 323.7940 Lower 95% = 310.3677 DATE = Jan1981 Upper 95% = 323.7940 Lower 95% = 310.3677 DATE = Dec1980 Upper 95% = 336.2502 Lower 95% = 322.8239 DATE = Dec1980 Upper 95% = 336.2502 Lower 95% = 322.8239 DATE = Nov1980 Upper 95% = 334.9873 Lower 95% = 321.5610 DATE = Nov1980 Upper 95% = 334.9873 Lower 95% = 321.5610 DATE = Oct1980 Upper 95% = 342.0502 Lower 95% = 328.6239 DATE = Oct1980 Upper 95% = 342.0502 Lower 95% = 328.6239 DATE = Sep1980 Upper 95% = 332.0363 Lower 95% = 318.6100 DATE = Sep1980 Upper 95% = 332.0363 Lower 95% = 318.6100 DATE = Aug1980 Upper 95% = 330.7686 Lower 95% = 317.3423 DATE = Aug1980 Upper 95% = 330.7686 Lower 95% = 317.3423 DATE = Jul1980 Upper 95% = 333.2248 Lower 95% = 319.7985 DATE = Jul1980 Upper 95% = 333.2248 Lower 95% = 319.7985 DATE = Jun1980 Upper 95% = 322.6122 Lower 95% = 309.1859 DATE = Jun1980 Upper 95% = 322.6122 Lower 95% = 309.1859 DATE = May1980 Upper 95% = 319.9806 Lower 95% = 306.5542 DATE = May1980 Upper 95% = 319.9806 Lower 95% = 306.5542 DATE = Apr1980 Upper 95% = 314.5034 Lower 95% = 301.0771 DATE = Apr1980 Upper 95% = 314.5034 Lower 95% = 301.0771 DATE = Mar1980 Upper 95% = 324.1005 Lower 95% = 310.6742 DATE = Mar1980 Upper 95% = 324.1005 Lower 95% = 310.6742 DATE = Feb1980 Upper 95% = 323.3512 Lower 95% = 309.9248 DATE = Feb1980 Upper 95% = 323.3512 Lower 95% = 309.9248 DATE = Jan1980 Upper 95% = 326.6902 Lower 95% = 313.2639 DATE = Jan1980 Upper 95% = 326.6902 Lower 95% = 313.2639 DATE = Dec1979 Upper 95% = 333.8196 Lower 95% = 320.3933 DATE = Dec1979 Upper 95% = 333.8196 Lower 95% = 320.3933 DATE = Nov1979 Upper 95% = 339.2894 Lower 95% = 325.8630 DATE = Nov1979 Upper 95% = 339.2894 Lower 95% = 325.8630 DATE = Oct1979 Upper 95% = 333.5047 Lower 95% = 320.0784 DATE = Oct1979 Upper 95% = 333.5047 Lower 95% = 320.0784 DATE = Sep1979 Upper 95% = 336.6471 Lower 95% = 323.2208 DATE = Sep1979 Upper 95% = 336.6471 Lower 95% = 323.2208 DATE = Aug1979 Upper 95% = 339.0028 Lower 95% = 325.5765 DATE = Aug1979 Upper 95% = 339.0028 Lower 95% = 325.5765 DATE = Jul1979 Upper 95% = 325.0307 Lower 95% = 311.6044 DATE = Jul1979 Upper 95% = 325.0307 Lower 95% = 311.6044 DATE = Jun1979 Upper 95% = 322.4969 Lower 95% = 309.0706 DATE = Jun1979 Upper 95% = 322.4969 Lower 95% = 309.0706 DATE = May1979 Upper 95% = 314.5259 Lower 95% = 301.0996 DATE = May1979 Upper 95% = 314.5259 Lower 95% = 301.0996 DATE = Apr1979 Upper 95% = 306.8297 Lower 95% = 293.4034 DATE = Apr1979 Upper 95% = 306.8297 Lower 95% = 293.4034 DATE = Mar1979 Upper 95% = 301.1971 Lower 95% = 287.7707 DATE = Mar1979 Upper 95% = 301.1971 Lower 95% = 287.7707 DATE = Feb1979 Upper 95% = 299.4425 Lower 95% = 286.0162 DATE = Feb1979 Upper 95% = 299.4425 Lower 95% = 286.0162 DATE = Jan1979 Upper 95% = 302.4165 Lower 95% = 288.9902 DATE = Jan1979 Upper 95% = 302.4165 Lower 95% = 288.9902 DATE = Dec1978 Upper 95% = 314.7508 Lower 95% = 301.3245 DATE = Dec1978 Upper 95% = 314.7508 Lower 95% = 301.3245 DATE = Nov1978 Upper 95% = 313.2963 Lower 95% = 299.8700 DATE = Nov1978 Upper 95% = 313.2963 Lower 95% = 299.8700 DATE = Oct1978 Upper 95% = 315.7751 Lower 95% = 302.3488 DATE = Oct1978 Upper 95% = 315.7751 Lower 95% = 302.3488 DATE = Sep1978 Upper 95% = 312.5881 Lower 95% = 299.1617 DATE = Sep1978 Upper 95% = 312.5881 Lower 95% = 299.1617 DATE = Aug1978 Upper 95% = 310.5926 Lower 95% = 297.1662 DATE = Aug1978 Upper 95% = 310.5926 Lower 95% = 297.1662 DATE = Jul1978 Upper 95% = 300.9796 Lower 95% = 287.5533 DATE = Jul1978 Upper 95% = 300.9796 Lower 95% = 287.5533 DATE = Jun1978 Upper 95% = 290.8963 Lower 95% = 277.4700 DATE = Jun1978 Upper 95% = 290.8963 Lower 95% = 277.4700 DATE = May1978 Upper 95% = 277.3337 Lower 95% = 263.9074 DATE = May1978 Upper 95% = 277.3337 Lower 95% = 263.9074 DATE = Apr1978 Upper 95% = 273.3158 Lower 95% = 259.8895 DATE = Apr1978 Upper 95% = 273.3158 Lower 95% = 259.8895 DATE = Mar1978 Upper 95% = 265.8905 Lower 95% = 252.4642
Model for ELECTRIC

X = 8248 DATE = Jul1983 Forecasts = 294.8966 DATE = Jun1983 Forecasts = 292.2966 DATE = Jun1983 Forecasts = 292.2966 DATE = May1983 Forecasts = 290.7966 DATE = May1983 Forecasts = 290.7966 DATE = Apr1983 Forecasts = 284.9966 DATE = Apr1983 Forecasts = 284.9966 DATE = Mar1983 Forecasts = 285.5965 DATE = Mar1983 Forecasts = 285.5965 DATE = Feb1983 Forecasts = 283.3967 DATE = Feb1983 Forecasts = 283.3967 DATE = Jan1983 Forecasts = 289.1962 DATE = Jan1983 Forecasts = 289.1962 DATE = Dec1982 Forecasts = 305.8979 DATE = Dec1982 Forecasts = 305.8979 DATE = Nov1982 Forecasts = 309.7920 DATE = Nov1982 Forecasts = 309.7920 DATE = Oct1982 Forecasts = 313.7127 DATE = Oct1982 Forecasts = 313.7127 DATE = Sep1982 Forecasts = 313.9370 DATE = Sep1982 Forecasts = 313.9370 DATE = Aug1982 Forecasts = 314.8823 DATE = Aug1982 Forecasts = 314.8823 DATE = Jul1982 Forecasts = 307.1744 DATE = Jul1982 Forecasts = 307.1744 DATE = Jun1982 Forecasts = 310.7495 DATE = Jun1982 Forecasts = 310.7495 DATE = May1982 Forecasts = 301.3003 DATE = May1982 Forecasts = 301.3003 DATE = Apr1982 Forecasts = 299.3912 DATE = Apr1982 Forecasts = 299.3912 DATE = Mar1982 Forecasts = 296.5489 DATE = Mar1982 Forecasts = 296.5489 DATE = Feb1982 Forecasts = 293.9308 DATE = Feb1982 Forecasts = 293.9308 DATE = Jan1982 Forecasts = 306.8715 DATE = Jan1982 Forecasts = 306.8715 DATE = Dec1981 Forecasts = 319.6048 DATE = Dec1981 Forecasts = 319.6048 DATE = Nov1981 Forecasts = 324.7701 DATE = Nov1981 Forecasts = 324.7701 DATE = Oct1981 Forecasts = 324.8296 DATE = Oct1981 Forecasts = 324.8296 DATE = Sep1981 Forecasts = 331.8834 DATE = Sep1981 Forecasts = 331.8834 DATE = Aug1981 Forecasts = 328.0058 DATE = Aug1981 Forecasts = 328.0058 DATE = Jul1981 Forecasts = 321.2799 DATE = Jul1981 Forecasts = 321.2799 DATE = Jun1981 Forecasts = 321.3705 DATE = Jun1981 Forecasts = 321.3705 DATE = May1981 Forecasts = 313.9243 DATE = May1981 Forecasts = 313.9243 DATE = Apr1981 Forecasts = 303.6694 DATE = Apr1981 Forecasts = 303.6694 DATE = Mar1981 Forecasts = 308.3671 DATE = Mar1981 Forecasts = 308.3671 DATE = Feb1981 Forecasts = 309.7963 DATE = Feb1981 Forecasts = 309.7963 DATE = Jan1981 Forecasts = 317.0809 DATE = Jan1981 Forecasts = 317.0809 DATE = Dec1980 Forecasts = 329.5370 DATE = Dec1980 Forecasts = 329.5370 DATE = Nov1980 Forecasts = 328.2742 DATE = Nov1980 Forecasts = 328.2742 DATE = Oct1980 Forecasts = 335.3371 DATE = Oct1980 Forecasts = 335.3371 DATE = Sep1980 Forecasts = 325.3232 DATE = Sep1980 Forecasts = 325.3232 DATE = Aug1980 Forecasts = 324.0554 DATE = Aug1980 Forecasts = 324.0554 DATE = Jul1980 Forecasts = 326.5117 DATE = Jul1980 Forecasts = 326.5117 DATE = Jun1980 Forecasts = 315.8990 DATE = Jun1980 Forecasts = 315.8990 DATE = May1980 Forecasts = 313.2674 DATE = May1980 Forecasts = 313.2674 DATE = Apr1980 Forecasts = 307.7902 DATE = Apr1980 Forecasts = 307.7902 DATE = Mar1980 Forecasts = 317.3873 DATE = Mar1980 Forecasts = 317.3873 DATE = Feb1980 Forecasts = 316.6380 DATE = Feb1980 Forecasts = 316.6380 DATE = Jan1980 Forecasts = 319.9770 DATE = Jan1980 Forecasts = 319.9770 DATE = Dec1979 Forecasts = 327.1065 DATE = Dec1979 Forecasts = 327.1065 DATE = Nov1979 Forecasts = 332.5762 DATE = Nov1979 Forecasts = 332.5762 DATE = Oct1979 Forecasts = 326.7915 DATE = Oct1979 Forecasts = 326.7915 DATE = Sep1979 Forecasts = 329.9339 DATE = Sep1979 Forecasts = 329.9339 DATE = Aug1979 Forecasts = 332.2896 DATE = Aug1979 Forecasts = 332.2896 DATE = Jul1979 Forecasts = 318.3175 DATE = Jul1979 Forecasts = 318.3175 DATE = Jun1979 Forecasts = 315.7837 DATE = Jun1979 Forecasts = 315.7837 DATE = May1979 Forecasts = 307.8127 DATE = May1979 Forecasts = 307.8127 DATE = Apr1979 Forecasts = 300.1166 DATE = Apr1979 Forecasts = 300.1166 DATE = Mar1979 Forecasts = 294.4839 DATE = Mar1979 Forecasts = 294.4839 DATE = Feb1979 Forecasts = 292.7294 DATE = Feb1979 Forecasts = 292.7294 DATE = Jan1979 Forecasts = 295.7034 DATE = Jan1979 Forecasts = 295.7034 DATE = Dec1978 Forecasts = 308.0376 DATE = Dec1978 Forecasts = 308.0376 DATE = Nov1978 Forecasts = 306.5832 DATE = Nov1978 Forecasts = 306.5832 DATE = Oct1978 Forecasts = 309.0620 DATE = Oct1978 Forecasts = 309.0620 DATE = Sep1978 Forecasts = 305.8749 DATE = Sep1978 Forecasts = 305.8749 DATE = Aug1978 Forecasts = 303.8794 DATE = Aug1978 Forecasts = 303.8794 DATE = Jul1978 Forecasts = 294.2664 DATE = Jul1978 Forecasts = 294.2664 DATE = Jun1978 Forecasts = 284.1832 DATE = Jun1978 Forecasts = 284.1832 DATE = May1978 Forecasts = 270.6205 DATE = May1978 Forecasts = 270.6205 DATE = Apr1978 Forecasts = 266.6027 DATE = Apr1978 Forecasts = 266.6027 DATE = Mar1978 Forecasts = 259.1773 DATE = Jul1982 ELECTRIC = 307.6000 DATE = Jun1982 ELECTRIC = 305.0000 DATE = May1982 ELECTRIC = 303.5000 DATE = Apr1982 ELECTRIC = 297.7000 DATE = Mar1982 ELECTRIC = 298.3000 DATE = Feb1982 ELECTRIC = 296.1000 DATE = Jan1982 ELECTRIC = 301.9000 DATE = Dec1981 ELECTRIC = 318.6000 DATE = Nov1981 ELECTRIC = 322.5000 DATE = Oct1981 ELECTRIC = 326.4000 DATE = Sep1981 ELECTRIC = 326.7000 DATE = Aug1981 ELECTRIC = 327.4000 DATE = Jul1981 ELECTRIC = 321.3000 DATE = Jun1981 ELECTRIC = 318.3000 DATE = May1981 ELECTRIC = 313.6000 DATE = Apr1981 ELECTRIC = 311.1000 DATE = Mar1981 ELECTRIC = 308.5000 DATE = Feb1981 ELECTRIC = 310.1000 DATE = Jan1981 ELECTRIC = 316.2000 DATE = Dec1980 ELECTRIC = 327.2000 DATE = Nov1980 ELECTRIC = 330.6000 DATE = Oct1980 ELECTRIC = 329.3000 DATE = Sep1980 ELECTRIC = 330.8000 DATE = Aug1980 ELECTRIC = 326.4000 DATE = Jul1980 ELECTRIC = 319.5000 DATE = Jun1980 ELECTRIC = 316.3000 DATE = May1980 ELECTRIC = 308.6000 DATE = Apr1980 ELECTRIC = 306.5000 DATE = Mar1980 ELECTRIC = 312.6000 DATE = Feb1980 ELECTRIC = 315.7000 DATE = Jan1980 ELECTRIC = 320.3000 DATE = Dec1979 ELECTRIC = 329.5000 DATE = Nov1979 ELECTRIC = 329.7000 DATE = Oct1979 ELECTRIC = 330.4000 DATE = Sep1979 ELECTRIC = 327.0000 DATE = Aug1979 ELECTRIC = 327.7000 DATE = Jul1979 ELECTRIC = 322.8000 DATE = Jun1979 ELECTRIC = 312.1000 DATE = May1979 ELECTRIC = 303.3000 DATE = Apr1979 ELECTRIC = 296.9000 DATE = Mar1979 ELECTRIC = 294.5000 DATE = Feb1979 ELECTRIC = 292.1000 DATE = Jan1979 ELECTRIC = 298.2000 DATE = Dec1978 ELECTRIC = 307.6000 DATE = Nov1978 ELECTRIC = 310.1000 DATE = Oct1978 ELECTRIC = 308.2000 DATE = Sep1978 ELECTRIC = 307.8000 DATE = Aug1978 ELECTRIC = 305.1000 DATE = Jul1978 ELECTRIC = 296.6000 DATE = Jun1978 ELECTRIC = 289.5000 DATE = May1978 ELECTRIC = 278.0000 DATE = Apr1978 ELECTRIC = 263.6000 DATE = Mar1978 ELECTRIC = 259.9000 DATE = Feb1978 ELECTRIC = 256.2000 DATE = Jan1978 ELECTRIC = 262.1000 DATE = Dec1977 ELECTRIC = 274.6000 DATE = Nov1977 ELECTRIC = 276.2000 DATE = Oct1977 ELECTRIC = 278.6000 DATE = Sep1977 ELECTRIC = 277.1000 DATE = Aug1977 ELECTRIC = 276.1000 DATE = Jul1977 ELECTRIC = 268.1000 DATE = Jun1977 ELECTRIC = 262.8000 DATE = May1977 ELECTRIC = 255.7000 DATE = Apr1977 ELECTRIC = 249.6000 DATE = Mar1977 ELECTRIC = 245.5000 DATE = Feb1977 ELECTRIC = 239.3000 DATE = Jan1977 ELECTRIC = 241.9000 DATE = Jul1983 Upper = 322.41 Lower = 267.38 DATE = Jun1983 Upper = 318.61 Lower = 265.98 DATE = Jun1983 Upper = 318.61 Lower = 265.98 DATE = May1983 Upper = 315.85 Lower = 265.74 DATE = May1983 Upper = 315.85 Lower = 265.74 DATE = Apr1983 Upper = 308.73 Lower = 261.26 DATE = Apr1983 Upper = 308.73 Lower = 261.26 DATE = Mar1983 Upper = 307.93 Lower = 263.26 DATE = Mar1983 Upper = 307.93 Lower = 263.26 DATE = Feb1983 Upper = 304.23 Lower = 262.56 DATE = Feb1983 Upper = 304.23 Lower = 262.56 DATE = Jan1983 Upper = 308.42 Lower = 269.97 DATE = Jan1983 Upper = 308.42 Lower = 269.97 DATE = Dec1982 Upper = 323.36 Lower = 288.43 DATE = Dec1982 Upper = 323.36 Lower = 288.43 DATE = Nov1982 Upper = 325.3 Lower = 294.28 DATE = Nov1982 Upper = 325.3 Lower = 294.28 DATE = Oct1982 Upper = 326.97 Lower = 300.46 DATE = Oct1982 Upper = 326.97 Lower = 300.46 DATE = Sep1982 Upper = 324.53 Lower = 303.34 DATE = Sep1982 Upper = 324.53 Lower = 303.34 DATE = Aug1982 Upper = 321.6 Lower = 308.17 DATE = Jul1983 Upper = 322.4109 Lower = 267.3823 DATE = Jun1983 Upper = 318.6114 Lower = 265.9817 DATE = Jun1983 Upper = 318.6114 Lower = 265.9817 DATE = May1983 Upper = 315.8547 Lower = 265.7385 DATE = May1983 Upper = 315.8547 Lower = 265.7385 DATE = Apr1983 Upper = 308.7314 Lower = 261.2617 DATE = Apr1983 Upper = 308.7314 Lower = 261.2617 DATE = Mar1983 Upper = 307.9299 Lower = 263.2632 DATE = Mar1983 Upper = 307.9299 Lower = 263.2632 DATE = Feb1983 Upper = 304.2345 Lower = 262.5589 DATE = Feb1983 Upper = 304.2345 Lower = 262.5589 DATE = Jan1983 Upper = 308.4226 Lower = 269.9698 DATE = Jan1983 Upper = 308.4226 Lower = 269.9698 DATE = Dec1982 Upper = 323.3641 Lower = 288.4316 DATE = Dec1982 Upper = 323.3641 Lower = 288.4316 DATE = Nov1982 Upper = 325.3028 Lower = 294.2813 DATE = Nov1982 Upper = 325.3028 Lower = 294.2813 DATE = Oct1982 Upper = 326.9696 Lower = 300.4557 DATE = Oct1982 Upper = 326.9696 Lower = 300.4557 DATE = Sep1982 Upper = 324.5315 Lower = 303.3425 DATE = Sep1982 Upper = 324.5315 Lower = 303.3425 DATE = Aug1982 Upper = 321.5955 Lower = 308.1691 DATE = Aug1982 Upper = 321.5955 Lower = 308.1691 DATE = Jul1982 Upper = 313.8875 Lower = 300.4612 DATE = Jul1982 Upper = 313.8875 Lower = 300.4612 DATE = Jun1982 Upper = 317.4627 Lower = 304.0363 DATE = Jun1982 Upper = 317.4627 Lower = 304.0363 DATE = May1982 Upper = 308.0135 Lower = 294.5871 DATE = May1982 Upper = 308.0135 Lower = 294.5871 DATE = Apr1982 Upper = 306.1044 Lower = 292.6781 DATE = Apr1982 Upper = 306.1044 Lower = 292.6781 DATE = Mar1982 Upper = 303.2621 Lower = 289.8358 DATE = Mar1982 Upper = 303.2621 Lower = 289.8358 DATE = Feb1982 Upper = 300.6440 Lower = 287.2176 DATE = Feb1982 Upper = 300.6440 Lower = 287.2176 DATE = Jan1982 Upper = 313.5846 Lower = 300.1583 DATE = Jan1982 Upper = 313.5846 Lower = 300.1583 DATE = Dec1981 Upper = 326.3180 Lower = 312.8916 DATE = Dec1981 Upper = 326.3180 Lower = 312.8916 DATE = Nov1981 Upper = 331.4833 Lower = 318.0569 DATE = Nov1981 Upper = 331.4833 Lower = 318.0569 DATE = Oct1981 Upper = 331.5427 Lower = 318.1164 DATE = Oct1981 Upper = 331.5427 Lower = 318.1164 DATE = Sep1981 Upper = 338.5966 Lower = 325.1702 DATE = Sep1981 Upper = 338.5966 Lower = 325.1702 DATE = Aug1981 Upper = 334.7190 Lower = 321.2927 DATE = Aug1981 Upper = 334.7190 Lower = 321.2927 DATE = Jul1981 Upper = 327.9931 Lower = 314.5667 DATE = Jul1981 Upper = 327.9931 Lower = 314.5667 DATE = Jun1981 Upper = 328.0836 Lower = 314.6573 DATE = Jun1981 Upper = 328.0836 Lower = 314.6573 DATE = May1981 Upper = 320.6375 Lower = 307.2111 DATE = May1981 Upper = 320.6375 Lower = 307.2111 DATE = Apr1981 Upper = 310.3825 Lower = 296.9562 DATE = Apr1981 Upper = 310.3825 Lower = 296.9562 DATE = Mar1981 Upper = 315.0803 Lower = 301.6540 DATE = Mar1981 Upper = 315.0803 Lower = 301.6540 DATE = Feb1981 Upper = 316.5095 Lower = 303.0831 DATE = Feb1981 Upper = 316.5095 Lower = 303.0831 DATE = Jan1981 Upper = 323.7940 Lower = 310.3677 DATE = Jan1981 Upper = 323.7940 Lower = 310.3677 DATE = Dec1980 Upper = 336.2502 Lower = 322.8239 DATE = Dec1980 Upper = 336.2502 Lower = 322.8239 DATE = Nov1980 Upper = 334.9873 Lower = 321.5610 DATE = Nov1980 Upper = 334.9873 Lower = 321.5610 DATE = Oct1980 Upper = 342.0502 Lower = 328.6239 DATE = Oct1980 Upper = 342.0502 Lower = 328.6239 DATE = Sep1980 Upper = 332.0363 Lower = 318.6100 DATE = Sep1980 Upper = 332.0363 Lower = 318.6100 DATE = Aug1980 Upper = 330.7686 Lower = 317.3423 DATE = Aug1980 Upper = 330.7686 Lower = 317.3423 DATE = Jul1980 Upper = 333.2248 Lower = 319.7985 DATE = Jul1980 Upper = 333.2248 Lower = 319.7985 DATE = Jun1980 Upper = 322.6122 Lower = 309.1859 DATE = Jun1980 Upper = 322.6122 Lower = 309.1859 DATE = May1980 Upper = 319.9806 Lower = 306.5542 DATE = May1980 Upper = 319.9806 Lower = 306.5542 DATE = Apr1980 Upper = 314.5034 Lower = 301.0771 DATE = Apr1980 Upper = 314.5034 Lower = 301.0771 DATE = Mar1980 Upper = 324.1005 Lower = 310.6742 DATE = Mar1980 Upper = 324.1005 Lower = 310.6742 DATE = Feb1980 Upper = 323.3512 Lower = 309.9248 DATE = Feb1980 Upper = 323.3512 Lower = 309.9248 DATE = Jan1980 Upper = 326.6902 Lower = 313.2639 DATE = Jan1980 Upper = 326.6902 Lower = 313.2639 DATE = Dec1979 Upper = 333.8196 Lower = 320.3933 DATE = Dec1979 Upper = 333.8196 Lower = 320.3933 DATE = Nov1979 Upper = 339.2894 Lower = 325.8630 DATE = Nov1979 Upper = 339.2894 Lower = 325.8630 DATE = Oct1979 Upper = 333.5047 Lower = 320.0784 DATE = Oct1979 Upper = 333.5047 Lower = 320.0784 DATE = Sep1979 Upper = 336.6471 Lower = 323.2208 DATE = Sep1979 Upper = 336.6471 Lower = 323.2208 DATE = Aug1979 Upper = 339.0028 Lower = 325.5765 DATE = Aug1979 Upper = 339.0028 Lower = 325.5765 DATE = Jul1979 Upper = 325.0307 Lower = 311.6044 DATE = Jul1979 Upper = 325.0307 Lower = 311.6044 DATE = Jun1979 Upper = 322.4969 Lower = 309.0706 DATE = Jun1979 Upper = 322.4969 Lower = 309.0706 DATE = May1979 Upper = 314.5259 Lower = 301.0996 DATE = May1979 Upper = 314.5259 Lower = 301.0996 DATE = Apr1979 Upper = 306.8297 Lower = 293.4034 DATE = Apr1979 Upper = 306.8297 Lower = 293.4034 DATE = Mar1979 Upper = 301.1971 Lower = 287.7707 DATE = Mar1979 Upper = 301.1971 Lower = 287.7707 DATE = Feb1979 Upper = 299.4425 Lower = 286.0162 DATE = Feb1979 Upper = 299.4425 Lower = 286.0162 DATE = Jan1979 Upper = 302.4165 Lower = 288.9902 DATE = Jan1979 Upper = 302.4165 Lower = 288.9902 DATE = Dec1978 Upper = 314.7508 Lower = 301.3245 DATE = Dec1978 Upper = 314.7508 Lower = 301.3245 DATE = Nov1978 Upper = 313.2963 Lower = 299.8700 DATE = Nov1978 Upper = 313.2963 Lower = 299.8700 DATE = Oct1978 Upper = 315.7751 Lower = 302.3488 DATE = Oct1978 Upper = 315.7751 Lower = 302.3488 DATE = Sep1978 Upper = 312.5881 Lower = 299.1617 DATE = Sep1978 Upper = 312.5881 Lower = 299.1617 DATE = Aug1978 Upper = 310.5926 Lower = 297.1662 DATE = Aug1978 Upper = 310.5926 Lower = 297.1662 DATE = Jul1978 Upper = 300.9796 Lower = 287.5533 DATE = Jul1978 Upper = 300.9796 Lower = 287.5533 DATE = Jun1978 Upper = 290.8963 Lower = 277.4700 DATE = Jun1978 Upper = 290.8963 Lower = 277.4700 DATE = May1978 Upper = 277.3337 Lower = 263.9074 DATE = May1978 Upper = 277.3337 Lower = 263.9074 DATE = Apr1978 Upper = 273.3158 Lower = 259.8895 DATE = Apr1978 Upper = 273.3158 Lower = 259.8895 DATE = Mar1978 Upper = 265.8905 Lower = 252.4642
Model and Forecasts for ELECTRIC

DATE = Jul1983 Forecasts = 294.8966 DATE = Jun1983 Forecasts = 292.2966 DATE = Jun1983 Forecasts = 292.2966 DATE = May1983 Forecasts = 290.7966 DATE = May1983 Forecasts = 290.7966 DATE = Apr1983 Forecasts = 284.9966 DATE = Apr1983 Forecasts = 284.9966 DATE = Mar1983 Forecasts = 285.5965 DATE = Mar1983 Forecasts = 285.5965 DATE = Feb1983 Forecasts = 283.3967 DATE = Feb1983 Forecasts = 283.3967 DATE = Jan1983 Forecasts = 289.1962 DATE = Jan1983 Forecasts = 289.1962 DATE = Dec1982 Forecasts = 305.8979 DATE = Dec1982 Forecasts = 305.8979 DATE = Nov1982 Forecasts = 309.7920 DATE = Nov1982 Forecasts = 309.7920 DATE = Oct1982 Forecasts = 313.7127 DATE = Oct1982 Forecasts = 313.7127 DATE = Sep1982 Forecasts = 313.9370 DATE = Sep1982 Forecasts = 313.9370 DATE = Aug1982 Forecasts = 314.8823 DATE = Jul1983 Upper 95% = 322.4109 Lower 95% = 267.3823 DATE = Jun1983 Upper 95% = 318.6114 Lower 95% = 265.9817 DATE = Jun1983 Upper 95% = 318.6114 Lower 95% = 265.9817 DATE = May1983 Upper 95% = 315.8547 Lower 95% = 265.7385 DATE = May1983 Upper 95% = 315.8547 Lower 95% = 265.7385 DATE = Apr1983 Upper 95% = 308.7314 Lower 95% = 261.2617 DATE = Apr1983 Upper 95% = 308.7314 Lower 95% = 261.2617 DATE = Mar1983 Upper 95% = 307.9299 Lower 95% = 263.2632 DATE = Mar1983 Upper 95% = 307.9299 Lower 95% = 263.2632 DATE = Feb1983 Upper 95% = 304.2345 Lower 95% = 262.5589 DATE = Feb1983 Upper 95% = 304.2345 Lower 95% = 262.5589 DATE = Jan1983 Upper 95% = 308.4226 Lower 95% = 269.9698 DATE = Jan1983 Upper 95% = 308.4226 Lower 95% = 269.9698 DATE = Dec1982 Upper 95% = 323.3641 Lower 95% = 288.4316 DATE = Dec1982 Upper 95% = 323.3641 Lower 95% = 288.4316 DATE = Nov1982 Upper 95% = 325.3028 Lower 95% = 294.2813 DATE = Nov1982 Upper 95% = 325.3028 Lower 95% = 294.2813 DATE = Oct1982 Upper 95% = 326.9696 Lower 95% = 300.4557 DATE = Oct1982 Upper 95% = 326.9696 Lower 95% = 300.4557 DATE = Sep1982 Upper 95% = 324.5315 Lower 95% = 303.3425 DATE = Sep1982 Upper 95% = 324.5315 Lower 95% = 303.3425 DATE = Aug1982 Upper 95% = 321.5955 Lower 95% = 308.1691
Forecasts for ELECTRIC

DATE = Jul1982 Error = 5.7441343 DATE = Jun1982 Error = -0.9820216 DATE = May1982 Error = 14.7731671 DATE = Apr1982 Error = 4.1393746 DATE = Mar1982 Error = -6.2519966 DATE = Feb1982 Error = 9.2291300 DATE = Jan1982 Error = -9.7586039 DATE = Dec1981 Error = -2.5369760 DATE = Nov1981 Error = -0.1397779 DATE = Oct1981 Error = -15.7528784 DATE = Sep1981 Error = -0.7984324 DATE = Aug1981 Error = 0.3791892 DATE = Jul1981 Error = -0.9162323 DATE = Jun1981 Error = -0.5592868 DATE = May1981 Error = 0.1655549 DATE = Apr1981 Error = 3.6202524 DATE = Mar1981 Error = 8.4049284 DATE = Feb1981 Error = 5.5419545 DATE = Jan1981 Error = -10.0737799 DATE = Dec1980 Error = -5.6293186 DATE = Nov1980 Error = -4.8207304 DATE = Oct1980 Error = 0.0197750 DATE = Sep1980 Error = 4.3838353 DATE = Aug1980 Error = -1.9311696 DATE = Jul1980 Error = -0.8833912 DATE = Jun1980 Error = -3.7750853 DATE = May1980 Error = -5.7127677 DATE = Apr1980 Error = -4.8305807 DATE = Mar1980 Error = -38.5795289 DATE = Feb1980 Error = -1.0492481 DATE = Jan1980 Error = 12.5678858 DATE = Dec1979 Error = -0.9047706 DATE = Nov1979 Error = -0.0130191 DATE = Oct1979 Error = 0.5421461 DATE = Sep1979 Error = -2.7541735 DATE = Aug1979 Error = -0.9855069 DATE = Jul1979 Error = 3.8122588 DATE = Jun1979 Error = -1.9956608 DATE = May1979 Error = 2.5583717 DATE = Apr1979 Error = -15.8261868 DATE = Mar1979 Error = 8.8642187 DATE = Feb1979 Error = -6.8318652 DATE = Jan1979 Error = 2.5693961 DATE = Dec1978 Error = 2.2988868 DATE = Nov1978 Error = -2.1797579 DATE = Oct1978 Error = 3.8950245 DATE = Sep1978 Error = -1.9441211 DATE = Aug1978 Error = -2.4256382 DATE = Jul1978 Error = -5.4029534 DATE = Jun1978 Error = -5.8561171 DATE = May1978 Error = -5.2908226 DATE = Apr1978 Error = 8.5836499 DATE = Mar1978 Error = 10.7330393 DATE = Jul1982 Error = 5.7441343 DATE = Jun1982 Error = -0.9820216 DATE = May1982 Error = 14.7731671 DATE = Apr1982 Error = 4.1393746 DATE = Mar1982 Error = -6.2519966 DATE = Feb1982 Error = 9.2291300 DATE = Jan1982 Error = -9.7586039 DATE = Dec1981 Error = -2.5369760 DATE = Nov1981 Error = -0.1397779 DATE = Oct1981 Error = -15.7528784 DATE = Sep1981 Error = -0.7984324 DATE = Aug1981 Error = 0.3791892 DATE = Jul1981 Error = -0.9162323 DATE = Jun1981 Error = -0.5592868 DATE = May1981 Error = 0.1655549 DATE = Apr1981 Error = 3.6202524 DATE = Mar1981 Error = 8.4049284 DATE = Feb1981 Error = 5.5419545 DATE = Jan1981 Error = -10.0737799 DATE = Dec1980 Error = -5.6293186 DATE = Nov1980 Error = -4.8207304 DATE = Oct1980 Error = 0.0197750 DATE = Sep1980 Error = 4.3838353 DATE = Aug1980 Error = -1.9311696 DATE = Jul1980 Error = -0.8833912 DATE = Jun1980 Error = -3.7750853 DATE = May1980 Error = -5.7127677 DATE = Apr1980 Error = -4.8305807 DATE = Mar1980 Error = -38.5795289 DATE = Feb1980 Error = -1.0492481 DATE = Jan1980 Error = 12.5678858 DATE = Dec1979 Error = -0.9047706 DATE = Nov1979 Error = -0.0130191 DATE = Oct1979 Error = 0.5421461 DATE = Sep1979 Error = -2.7541735 DATE = Aug1979 Error = -0.9855069 DATE = Jul1979 Error = 3.8122588 DATE = Jun1979 Error = -1.9956608 DATE = May1979 Error = 2.5583717 DATE = Apr1979 Error = -15.8261868 DATE = Mar1979 Error = 8.8642187 DATE = Feb1979 Error = -6.8318652 DATE = Jan1979 Error = 2.5693961 DATE = Dec1978 Error = 2.2988868 DATE = Nov1978 Error = -2.1797579 DATE = Oct1978 Error = 3.8950245 DATE = Sep1978 Error = -1.9441211 DATE = Aug1978 Error = -2.4256382 DATE = Jul1978 Error = -5.4029534 DATE = Jun1978 Error = -5.8561171 DATE = May1978 Error = -5.2908226 DATE = Apr1978 Error = 8.5836499 DATE = Mar1978 Error = 10.7330393 DATE = Jul1982 Standard Error = 8.2722 -1*STD = -8.272 DATE = Jun1982 Standard Error = 8.2722 -1*STD = -8.272 DATE = Jun1982 Standard Error = 8.2722 -1*STD = -8.272 DATE = May1982 Standard Error = 8.2722 -1*STD = -8.272 DATE = May1982 Standard Error = 8.2722 -1*STD = -8.272 DATE = Apr1982 Standard Error = 8.2722 -1*STD = -8.272 DATE = Apr1982 Standard Error = 8.2722 -1*STD = -8.272 DATE = Mar1982 Standard Error = 8.2722 -1*STD = -8.272 DATE = Mar1982 Standard Error = 8.2722 -1*STD = -8.272 DATE = Feb1982 Standard Error = 8.2722 -1*STD = -8.272 DATE = Feb1982 Standard Error = 8.2722 -1*STD = -8.272 DATE = Jan1982 Standard Error = 8.2722 -1*STD = -8.272 DATE = Jan1982 Standard Error = 8.2722 -1*STD = -8.272 DATE = Dec1981 Standard Error = 8.2722 -1*STD = -8.272 DATE = Dec1981 Standard Error = 8.2722 -1*STD = -8.272 DATE = Nov1981 Standard Error = 8.2722 -1*STD = -8.272 DATE = Nov1981 Standard Error = 8.2722 -1*STD = -8.272 DATE = Oct1981 Standard Error = 8.2722 -1*STD = -8.272 DATE = Oct1981 Standard Error = 8.2722 -1*STD = -8.272 DATE = Sep1981 Standard Error = 8.2722 -1*STD = -8.272 DATE = Sep1981 Standard Error = 8.2722 -1*STD = -8.272 DATE = Aug1981 Standard Error = 8.2722 -1*STD = -8.272 DATE = Aug1981 Standard Error = 8.2722 -1*STD = -8.272 DATE = Jul1981 Standard Error = 8.2722 -1*STD = -8.272 DATE = Jul1981 Standard Error = 8.2722 -1*STD = -8.272 DATE = Jun1981 Standard Error = 8.2722 -1*STD = -8.272 DATE = Jun1981 Standard Error = 8.2722 -1*STD = -8.272 DATE = May1981 Standard Error = 8.2722 -1*STD = -8.272 DATE = May1981 Standard Error = 8.2722 -1*STD = -8.272 DATE = Apr1981 Standard Error = 8.2722 -1*STD = -8.272 DATE = Apr1981 Standard Error = 8.2722 -1*STD = -8.272 DATE = Mar1981 Standard Error = 8.2722 -1*STD = -8.272 DATE = Mar1981 Standard Error = 8.2722 -1*STD = -8.272 DATE = Feb1981 Standard Error = 8.2722 -1*STD = -8.272 DATE = Feb1981 Standard Error = 8.2722 -1*STD = -8.272 DATE = Jan1981 Standard Error = 8.2722 -1*STD = -8.272 DATE = Jan1981 Standard Error = 8.2722 -1*STD = -8.272 DATE = Dec1980 Standard Error = 8.2722 -1*STD = -8.272 DATE = Dec1980 Standard Error = 8.2722 -1*STD = -8.272 DATE = Nov1980 Standard Error = 8.2722 -1*STD = -8.272 DATE = Nov1980 Standard Error = 8.2722 -1*STD = -8.272 DATE = Oct1980 Standard Error = 8.2722 -1*STD = -8.272 DATE = Oct1980 Standard Error = 8.2722 -1*STD = -8.272 DATE = Sep1980 Standard Error = 8.2722 -1*STD = -8.272 DATE = Sep1980 Standard Error = 8.2722 -1*STD = -8.272 DATE = Aug1980 Standard Error = 8.2722 -1*STD = -8.272 DATE = Aug1980 Standard Error = 8.2722 -1*STD = -8.272 DATE = Jul1980 Standard Error = 8.2722 -1*STD = -8.272 DATE = Jul1980 Standard Error = 8.2722 -1*STD = -8.272 DATE = Jun1980 Standard Error = 8.2722 -1*STD = -8.272 DATE = Jun1980 Standard Error = 8.2722 -1*STD = -8.272 DATE = May1980 Standard Error = 8.2722 -1*STD = -8.272 DATE = May1980 Standard Error = 8.2722 -1*STD = -8.272 DATE = Apr1980 Standard Error = 8.2722 -1*STD = -8.272 DATE = Apr1980 Standard Error = 8.2722 -1*STD = -8.272 DATE = Mar1980 Standard Error = 8.2722 -1*STD = -8.272 DATE = Mar1980 Standard Error = 8.2722 -1*STD = -8.272 DATE = Feb1980 Standard Error = 8.2722 -1*STD = -8.272 DATE = Feb1980 Standard Error = 8.2722 -1*STD = -8.272 DATE = Jan1980 Standard Error = 8.2722 -1*STD = -8.272 DATE = Jan1980 Standard Error = 8.2722 -1*STD = -8.272 DATE = Dec1979 Standard Error = 8.2722 -1*STD = -8.272 DATE = Dec1979 Standard Error = 8.2722 -1*STD = -8.272 DATE = Nov1979 Standard Error = 8.2722 -1*STD = -8.272 DATE = Nov1979 Standard Error = 8.2722 -1*STD = -8.272 DATE = Oct1979 Standard Error = 8.2722 -1*STD = -8.272 DATE = Oct1979 Standard Error = 8.2722 -1*STD = -8.272 DATE = Sep1979 Standard Error = 8.2722 -1*STD = -8.272 DATE = Sep1979 Standard Error = 8.2722 -1*STD = -8.272 DATE = Aug1979 Standard Error = 8.2722 -1*STD = -8.272 DATE = Aug1979 Standard Error = 8.2722 -1*STD = -8.272 DATE = Jul1979 Standard Error = 8.2722 -1*STD = -8.272 DATE = Jul1979 Standard Error = 8.2722 -1*STD = -8.272 DATE = Jun1979 Standard Error = 8.2722 -1*STD = -8.272 DATE = Jun1979 Standard Error = 8.2722 -1*STD = -8.272 DATE = May1979 Standard Error = 8.2722 -1*STD = -8.272 DATE = May1979 Standard Error = 8.2722 -1*STD = -8.272 DATE = Apr1979 Standard Error = 8.2722 -1*STD = -8.272 DATE = Apr1979 Standard Error = 8.2722 -1*STD = -8.272 DATE = Mar1979 Standard Error = 8.2722 -1*STD = -8.272 DATE = Mar1979 Standard Error = 8.2722 -1*STD = -8.272 DATE = Feb1979 Standard Error = 8.2722 -1*STD = -8.272 DATE = Feb1979 Standard Error = 8.2722 -1*STD = -8.272 DATE = Jan1979 Standard Error = 8.2722 -1*STD = -8.272 DATE = Jan1979 Standard Error = 8.2722 -1*STD = -8.272 DATE = Dec1978 Standard Error = 8.2722 -1*STD = -8.272 DATE = Dec1978 Standard Error = 8.2722 -1*STD = -8.272 DATE = Nov1978 Standard Error = 8.2722 -1*STD = -8.272 DATE = Nov1978 Standard Error = 8.2722 -1*STD = -8.272 DATE = Oct1978 Standard Error = 8.2722 -1*STD = -8.272 DATE = Oct1978 Standard Error = 8.2722 -1*STD = -8.272 DATE = Sep1978 Standard Error = 8.2722 -1*STD = -8.272 DATE = Sep1978 Standard Error = 8.2722 -1*STD = -8.272 DATE = Aug1978 Standard Error = 8.2722 -1*STD = -8.272 DATE = Aug1978 Standard Error = 8.2722 -1*STD = -8.272 DATE = Jul1978 Standard Error = 8.2722 -1*STD = -8.272 DATE = Jul1978 Standard Error = 8.2722 -1*STD = -8.272 DATE = Jun1978 Standard Error = 8.2722 -1*STD = -8.272 DATE = Jun1978 Standard Error = 8.2722 -1*STD = -8.272 DATE = May1978 Standard Error = 8.2722 -1*STD = -8.272 DATE = May1978 Standard Error = 8.2722 -1*STD = -8.272 DATE = Apr1978 Standard Error = 8.2722 -1*STD = -8.272 DATE = Apr1978 Standard Error = 8.2722 -1*STD = -8.272 DATE = Mar1978 Standard Error = 8.2722 -1*STD = -8.272 DATE = Jul1982 2*STD = 16.544 -2*STD = -16.54 DATE = Jun1982 2*STD = 16.544 -2*STD = -16.54 DATE = Jun1982 2*STD = 16.544 -2*STD = -16.54 DATE = May1982 2*STD = 16.544 -2*STD = -16.54 DATE = May1982 2*STD = 16.544 -2*STD = -16.54 DATE = Apr1982 2*STD = 16.544 -2*STD = -16.54 DATE = Apr1982 2*STD = 16.544 -2*STD = -16.54 DATE = Mar1982 2*STD = 16.544 -2*STD = -16.54 DATE = Mar1982 2*STD = 16.544 -2*STD = -16.54 DATE = Feb1982 2*STD = 16.544 -2*STD = -16.54 DATE = Feb1982 2*STD = 16.544 -2*STD = -16.54 DATE = Jan1982 2*STD = 16.544 -2*STD = -16.54 DATE = Jan1982 2*STD = 16.544 -2*STD = -16.54 DATE = Dec1981 2*STD = 16.544 -2*STD = -16.54 DATE = Dec1981 2*STD = 16.544 -2*STD = -16.54 DATE = Nov1981 2*STD = 16.544 -2*STD = -16.54 DATE = Nov1981 2*STD = 16.544 -2*STD = -16.54 DATE = Oct1981 2*STD = 16.544 -2*STD = -16.54 DATE = Oct1981 2*STD = 16.544 -2*STD = -16.54 DATE = Sep1981 2*STD = 16.544 -2*STD = -16.54 DATE = Sep1981 2*STD = 16.544 -2*STD = -16.54 DATE = Aug1981 2*STD = 16.544 -2*STD = -16.54 DATE = Aug1981 2*STD = 16.544 -2*STD = -16.54 DATE = Jul1981 2*STD = 16.544 -2*STD = -16.54 DATE = Jul1981 2*STD = 16.544 -2*STD = -16.54 DATE = Jun1981 2*STD = 16.544 -2*STD = -16.54 DATE = Jun1981 2*STD = 16.544 -2*STD = -16.54 DATE = May1981 2*STD = 16.544 -2*STD = -16.54 DATE = May1981 2*STD = 16.544 -2*STD = -16.54 DATE = Apr1981 2*STD = 16.544 -2*STD = -16.54 DATE = Apr1981 2*STD = 16.544 -2*STD = -16.54 DATE = Mar1981 2*STD = 16.544 -2*STD = -16.54 DATE = Mar1981 2*STD = 16.544 -2*STD = -16.54 DATE = Feb1981 2*STD = 16.544 -2*STD = -16.54 DATE = Feb1981 2*STD = 16.544 -2*STD = -16.54 DATE = Jan1981 2*STD = 16.544 -2*STD = -16.54 DATE = Jan1981 2*STD = 16.544 -2*STD = -16.54 DATE = Dec1980 2*STD = 16.544 -2*STD = -16.54 DATE = Dec1980 2*STD = 16.544 -2*STD = -16.54 DATE = Nov1980 2*STD = 16.544 -2*STD = -16.54 DATE = Nov1980 2*STD = 16.544 -2*STD = -16.54 DATE = Oct1980 2*STD = 16.544 -2*STD = -16.54 DATE = Oct1980 2*STD = 16.544 -2*STD = -16.54 DATE = Sep1980 2*STD = 16.544 -2*STD = -16.54 DATE = Sep1980 2*STD = 16.544 -2*STD = -16.54 DATE = Aug1980 2*STD = 16.544 -2*STD = -16.54 DATE = Aug1980 2*STD = 16.544 -2*STD = -16.54 DATE = Jul1980 2*STD = 16.544 -2*STD = -16.54 DATE = Jul1980 2*STD = 16.544 -2*STD = -16.54 DATE = Jun1980 2*STD = 16.544 -2*STD = -16.54 DATE = Jun1980 2*STD = 16.544 -2*STD = -16.54 DATE = May1980 2*STD = 16.544 -2*STD = -16.54 DATE = May1980 2*STD = 16.544 -2*STD = -16.54 DATE = Apr1980 2*STD = 16.544 -2*STD = -16.54 DATE = Apr1980 2*STD = 16.544 -2*STD = -16.54 DATE = Mar1980 2*STD = 16.544 -2*STD = -16.54 DATE = Mar1980 2*STD = 16.544 -2*STD = -16.54 DATE = Feb1980 2*STD = 16.544 -2*STD = -16.54 DATE = Feb1980 2*STD = 16.544 -2*STD = -16.54 DATE = Jan1980 2*STD = 16.544 -2*STD = -16.54 DATE = Jan1980 2*STD = 16.544 -2*STD = -16.54 DATE = Dec1979 2*STD = 16.544 -2*STD = -16.54 DATE = Dec1979 2*STD = 16.544 -2*STD = -16.54 DATE = Nov1979 2*STD = 16.544 -2*STD = -16.54 DATE = Nov1979 2*STD = 16.544 -2*STD = -16.54 DATE = Oct1979 2*STD = 16.544 -2*STD = -16.54 DATE = Oct1979 2*STD = 16.544 -2*STD = -16.54 DATE = Sep1979 2*STD = 16.544 -2*STD = -16.54 DATE = Sep1979 2*STD = 16.544 -2*STD = -16.54 DATE = Aug1979 2*STD = 16.544 -2*STD = -16.54 DATE = Aug1979 2*STD = 16.544 -2*STD = -16.54 DATE = Jul1979 2*STD = 16.544 -2*STD = -16.54 DATE = Jul1979 2*STD = 16.544 -2*STD = -16.54 DATE = Jun1979 2*STD = 16.544 -2*STD = -16.54 DATE = Jun1979 2*STD = 16.544 -2*STD = -16.54 DATE = May1979 2*STD = 16.544 -2*STD = -16.54 DATE = May1979 2*STD = 16.544 -2*STD = -16.54 DATE = Apr1979 2*STD = 16.544 -2*STD = -16.54 DATE = Apr1979 2*STD = 16.544 -2*STD = -16.54 DATE = Mar1979 2*STD = 16.544 -2*STD = -16.54 DATE = Mar1979 2*STD = 16.544 -2*STD = -16.54 DATE = Feb1979 2*STD = 16.544 -2*STD = -16.54 DATE = Feb1979 2*STD = 16.544 -2*STD = -16.54 DATE = Jan1979 2*STD = 16.544 -2*STD = -16.54 DATE = Jan1979 2*STD = 16.544 -2*STD = -16.54 DATE = Dec1978 2*STD = 16.544 -2*STD = -16.54 DATE = Dec1978 2*STD = 16.544 -2*STD = -16.54 DATE = Nov1978 2*STD = 16.544 -2*STD = -16.54 DATE = Nov1978 2*STD = 16.544 -2*STD = -16.54 DATE = Oct1978 2*STD = 16.544 -2*STD = -16.54 DATE = Oct1978 2*STD = 16.544 -2*STD = -16.54 DATE = Sep1978 2*STD = 16.544 -2*STD = -16.54 DATE = Sep1978 2*STD = 16.544 -2*STD = -16.54 DATE = Aug1978 2*STD = 16.544 -2*STD = -16.54 DATE = Aug1978 2*STD = 16.544 -2*STD = -16.54 DATE = Jul1978 2*STD = 16.544 -2*STD = -16.54 DATE = Jul1978 2*STD = 16.544 -2*STD = -16.54 DATE = Jun1978 2*STD = 16.544 -2*STD = -16.54 DATE = Jun1978 2*STD = 16.544 -2*STD = -16.54 DATE = May1978 2*STD = 16.544 -2*STD = -16.54 DATE = May1978 2*STD = 16.544 -2*STD = -16.54 DATE = Apr1978 2*STD = 16.544 -2*STD = -16.54 DATE = Apr1978 2*STD = 16.544 -2*STD = -16.54 DATE = Mar1978 2*STD = 16.544 -2*STD = -16.54
Prediction Errors for MASONRY

Lag = 12 ACF = -0.208 Lag = 11 ACF = 0.0786 Lag = 10 ACF = 0.0624 Lag = 9 ACF = 0.0376 Lag = 8 ACF = 0.0076 Lag = 7 ACF = -0.089 Lag = 6 ACF = -0.079 Lag = 5 ACF = 0.0236 Lag = 4 ACF = -0.208 Lag = 3 ACF = 0.0078 Lag = 2 ACF = -0.05 Lag = 1 ACF = 0.0071 Lag = 0 ACF = 1 Lag = 12 Lower = -0.294 Upper = 0.2938 Lag = 11 Lower = -0.292 Upper = 0.2922 Lag = 11 Lower = -0.292 Upper = 0.2922 Lag = 10 Lower = -0.291 Upper = 0.2912 Lag = 10 Lower = -0.291 Upper = 0.2912 Lag = 9 Lower = -0.291 Upper = 0.2909 Lag = 9 Lower = -0.291 Upper = 0.2909 Lag = 8 Lower = -0.291 Upper = 0.2908 Lag = 8 Lower = -0.291 Upper = 0.2908 Lag = 7 Lower = -0.289 Upper = 0.2888 Lag = 7 Lower = -0.289 Upper = 0.2888 Lag = 6 Lower = -0.287 Upper = 0.2871 Lag = 6 Lower = -0.287 Upper = 0.2871 Lag = 5 Lower = -0.287 Upper = 0.287 Lag = 5 Lower = -0.287 Upper = 0.287 Lag = 4 Lower = -0.275 Upper = 0.2754 Lag = 4 Lower = -0.275 Upper = 0.2754 Lag = 3 Lower = -0.275 Upper = 0.2754 Lag = 3 Lower = -0.275 Upper = 0.2754 Lag = 2 Lower = -0.275 Upper = 0.2747 Lag = 2 Lower = -0.275 Upper = 0.2747 Lag = 1 Lower = -0.275 Upper = 0.2747 Lag = 1 Lower = -0.275 Upper = 0.2747 Lag = 0 Lower = 0 Upper = 0
Prediction Error Autocorrelations for MASONRY

Lag = 12 PACF = -0.232 Lag = 11 PACF = 0.0556 Lag = 10 PACF = 0.0204 Lag = 9 PACF = 0.0398 Lag = 8 PACF = -0.051 Lag = 7 PACF = -0.084 Lag = 6 PACF = -0.108 Lag = 5 PACF = 0.0295 Lag = 4 PACF = -0.211 Lag = 3 PACF = 0.0085 Lag = 2 PACF = -0.05 Lag = 1 PACF = 0.0071 Lag = 12 Lower = -0.275 Upper = 0.2747 Lag = 11 Lower = -0.275 Upper = 0.2747 Lag = 11 Lower = -0.275 Upper = 0.2747 Lag = 10 Lower = -0.275 Upper = 0.2747 Lag = 10 Lower = -0.275 Upper = 0.2747 Lag = 9 Lower = -0.275 Upper = 0.2747 Lag = 9 Lower = -0.275 Upper = 0.2747 Lag = 8 Lower = -0.275 Upper = 0.2747 Lag = 8 Lower = -0.275 Upper = 0.2747 Lag = 7 Lower = -0.275 Upper = 0.2747 Lag = 7 Lower = -0.275 Upper = 0.2747 Lag = 6 Lower = -0.275 Upper = 0.2747 Lag = 6 Lower = -0.275 Upper = 0.2747 Lag = 5 Lower = -0.275 Upper = 0.2747 Lag = 5 Lower = -0.275 Upper = 0.2747 Lag = 4 Lower = -0.275 Upper = 0.2747 Lag = 4 Lower = -0.275 Upper = 0.2747 Lag = 3 Lower = -0.275 Upper = 0.2747 Lag = 3 Lower = -0.275 Upper = 0.2747 Lag = 2 Lower = -0.275 Upper = 0.2747 Lag = 2 Lower = -0.275 Upper = 0.2747 Lag = 1 Lower = -0.275 Upper = 0.2747
Prediction Error Partial Autocorrelations for MASONRY

Lag = 12 IACF = 0.2014 Lag = 11 IACF = -0.053 Lag = 10 IACF = 0.0164 Lag = 9 IACF = -0.046 Lag = 8 IACF = 0.136 Lag = 7 IACF = 0.03 Lag = 6 IACF = 0.1489 Lag = 5 IACF = -0.023 Lag = 4 IACF = 0.2497 Lag = 3 IACF = -0.03 Lag = 2 IACF = 0.1222 Lag = 1 IACF = -0.032 Lag = 0 IACF = 1 Lag = 12 Lower = -0.275 Upper = 0.2747 Lag = 11 Lower = -0.275 Upper = 0.2747 Lag = 11 Lower = -0.275 Upper = 0.2747 Lag = 10 Lower = -0.275 Upper = 0.2747 Lag = 10 Lower = -0.275 Upper = 0.2747 Lag = 9 Lower = -0.275 Upper = 0.2747 Lag = 9 Lower = -0.275 Upper = 0.2747 Lag = 8 Lower = -0.275 Upper = 0.2747 Lag = 8 Lower = -0.275 Upper = 0.2747 Lag = 7 Lower = -0.275 Upper = 0.2747 Lag = 7 Lower = -0.275 Upper = 0.2747 Lag = 6 Lower = -0.275 Upper = 0.2747 Lag = 6 Lower = -0.275 Upper = 0.2747 Lag = 5 Lower = -0.275 Upper = 0.2747 Lag = 5 Lower = -0.275 Upper = 0.2747 Lag = 4 Lower = -0.275 Upper = 0.2747 Lag = 4 Lower = -0.275 Upper = 0.2747 Lag = 3 Lower = -0.275 Upper = 0.2747 Lag = 3 Lower = -0.275 Upper = 0.2747 Lag = 2 Lower = -0.275 Upper = 0.2747 Lag = 2 Lower = -0.275 Upper = 0.2747 Lag = 1 Lower = -0.275 Upper = 0.2747
Prediction Error Inverse Autocorrelations for MASONRY

Y = 2 Y = 1.301 Lag = 12 Ljung-Box white-noise test p-value = .678 Lag = 11 Ljung-Box white-noise test p-value = .881 Lag = 10 Ljung-Box white-noise test p-value = .858 Lag = 9 Ljung-Box white-noise test p-value = .81 Lag = 8 Ljung-Box white-noise test p-value = .726 Lag = 7 Ljung-Box white-noise test p-value = .603 Lag = 6 Ljung-Box white-noise test p-value = .536 Lag = 5 Ljung-Box white-noise test p-value = .433 Lag = 4 Ljung-Box white-noise test p-value = .258 Lag = 3 Ljung-Box white-noise test p-value = .702 LIMITUPPER = 2.0 LIMITLOWER = 0.0 LIMITUPPER = 2.0 LIMITLOWER = 0.0
Prediction Error White Noise Plot for MASONRY (Log Scale)

Error = 22 Percent = 0.1246 Error = 22 Percent = 0.1775 Error = 22 Percent = 0.1775 Error = 21 Percent = 0.2484 Error = 21 Percent = 0.2484 Error = 21 Percent = 0.3417 Error = 21 Percent = 0.3417 Error = 21 Percent = 0.462 Error = 21 Percent = 0.462 Error = 20 Percent = 0.6144 Error = 20 Percent = 0.6144 Error = 20 Percent = 0.8038 Error = 20 Percent = 0.8038 Error = 19 Percent = 1.0348 Error = 19 Percent = 1.0348 Error = 19 Percent = 1.3117 Error = 19 Percent = 1.3117 Error = 19 Percent = 1.638 Error = 19 Percent = 1.638 Error = 18 Percent = 2.016 Error = 18 Percent = 2.016 Error = 18 Percent = 2.4473 Error = 18 Percent = 2.4473 Error = 17 Percent = 2.9322 Error = 17 Percent = 2.9322 Error = 17 Percent = 3.47 Error = 17 Percent = 3.47 Error = 16 Percent = 4.0594 Error = 16 Percent = 4.0594 Error = 16 Percent = 4.6983 Error = 16 Percent = 4.6983 Error = 16 Percent = 5.3848 Error = 16 Percent = 5.3848 Error = 15 Percent = 6.1164 Error = 15 Percent = 6.1164 Error = 15 Percent = 6.891 Error = 15 Percent = 6.891 Error = 14 Percent = 7.7068 Error = 14 Percent = 7.7068 Error = 14 Percent = 8.5615 Error = 14 Percent = 8.5615 Error = 14 Percent = 9.4529 Error = 14 Percent = 9.4529 Error = 13 Percent = 10.378 Error = 13 Percent = 10.378 Error = 12 Percent = 12.316 Error = 12 Percent = 12.316 Error = 11 Percent = 14.339 Error = 11 Percent = 14.339 Error = 10 Percent = 18.508 Error = 10 Percent = 18.508 Error = 9 Percent = 20.669 Error = 9 Percent = 20.669 Error = 9 Percent = 21.799 Error = 9 Percent = 21.799 Error = 8 Percent = 22.982 Error = 8 Percent = 22.982 Error = 8 Percent = 24.238 Error = 8 Percent = 24.238 Error = 7 Percent = 25.583 Error = 7 Percent = 25.583 Error = 7 Percent = 27.038 Error = 7 Percent = 27.038 Error = 6 Percent = 28.618 Error = 6 Percent = 28.618 Error = 6 Percent = 30.336 Error = 6 Percent = 30.336 Error = 6 Percent = 32.202 Error = 6 Percent = 32.202 Error = 5 Percent = 34.222 Error = 5 Percent = 34.222 Error = 5 Percent = 36.397 Error = 5 Percent = 36.397 Error = 4 Percent = 38.722 Error = 4 Percent = 38.722 Error = 4 Percent = 41.187 Error = 4 Percent = 41.187 Error = 2 Percent = 54.646 Error = 2 Percent = 54.646 Error = 1 Percent = 57.235 Error = 1 Percent = 57.235 Error = 1 Percent = 59.637 Error = 1 Percent = 59.637 Error = 1 Percent = 61.775 Error = 1 Percent = 61.775 Error = 0 Percent = 63.575 Error = 0 Percent = 63.575 Error = -0 Percent = 64.969 Error = -0 Percent = 64.969 Error = -1 Percent = 65.902 Error = -1 Percent = 65.902 Error = -1 Percent = 66.336 Error = -1 Percent = 66.336 Error = -1 Percent = 66.249 Error = -1 Percent = 66.249 Error = -2 Percent = 65.643 Error = -2 Percent = 65.643 Error = -2 Percent = 64.535 Error = -2 Percent = 64.535 Error = -3 Percent = 62.962 Error = -3 Percent = 62.962 Error = -3 Percent = 60.973 Error = -3 Percent = 60.973 Error = -4 Percent = 58.623 Error = -4 Percent = 58.623 Error = -4 Percent = 55.974 Error = -4 Percent = 55.974 Error = -4 Percent = 53.089 Error = -4 Percent = 53.089 Error = -5 Percent = 50.026 Error = -5 Percent = 50.026 Error = -6 Percent = 43.592 Error = -6 Percent = 43.592 Error = -7 Percent = 33.876 Error = -7 Percent = 33.876 Error = -7 Percent = 30.781 Error = -7 Percent = 30.781 Error = -8 Percent = 27.814 Error = -8 Percent = 27.814 Error = -8 Percent = 25.004 Error = -8 Percent = 25.004 Error = -9 Percent = 22.374 Error = -9 Percent = 22.374 Error = -9 Percent = 19.944 Error = -9 Percent = 19.944 Error = -9 Percent = 17.728 Error = -9 Percent = 17.728 Error = -10 Percent = 15.737 Error = -10 Percent = 15.737 Error = -10 Percent = 13.972 Error = -10 Percent = 13.972 Error = -11 Percent = 12.435 Error = -11 Percent = 12.435 Error = -11 Percent = 11.118 Error = -11 Percent = 11.118 Error = -11 Percent = 10.011 Error = -11 Percent = 10.011 Error = -12 Percent = 9.1007 Error = -12 Percent = 9.1007 Error = -12 Percent = 8.368 Error = -12 Percent = 8.368 Error = -13 Percent = 7.7914 Error = -13 Percent = 7.7914 Error = -13 Percent = 7.3463 Error = -13 Percent = 7.3463 Error = -14 Percent = 7.0059 Error = -14 Percent = 7.0059 Error = -14 Percent = 6.7423 Error = -14 Percent = 6.7423 Error = -14 Percent = 6.5275 Error = -14 Percent = 6.5275 Error = -15 Percent = 6.1407 Error = -15 Percent = 6.1407 Error = -16 Percent = 5.9255 Error = -16 Percent = 5.9255 Error = -16 Percent = 5.6751 Error = -16 Percent = 5.6751 Error = -16 Percent = 5.381 Error = -16 Percent = 5.381 Error = -17 Percent = 5.0409 Error = -17 Percent = 5.0409 Error = -17 Percent = 4.6579 Error = -17 Percent = 4.6579 Error = -18 Percent = 4.2398 Error = -18 Percent = 4.2398 Error = -19 Percent = 2.8958 Error = -19 Percent = 2.8958 Error = -19 Percent = 2.4624 Error = -19 Percent = 2.4624 Error = -20 Percent = 2.0562 Error = -20 Percent = 2.0562 Error = -20 Percent = 1.6855 Error = -20 Percent = 1.6855 Error = -21 Percent = 1.3562 Error = -21 Percent = 1.3562 Error = -21 Percent = 1.0709 Error = -21 Percent = 1.0709 Error = -21 Percent = 0.8298 Error = -21 Percent = 0.8298 Error = -22 Percent = 0.6308 Error = -22 Percent = 0.6308 Error = -22 Percent = 0.4706 Error = -22 Percent = 0.4706 Error = -23 Percent = 0.3443 Error = -23 Percent = 0.3443 Error = -23 Percent = 0.2472 Error = -23 Percent = 0.2472 Error = -24 Percent = 0.1741 Error = -24 Percent = 0.1741 Error = -24 Percent = 0.1203 Error = -24 Percent = 0.1203 Error = -24 Percent = 0.0816 Error = -24 Percent = 0.0816 Error = -25 Percent = 0.0543 Error = -25 Percent = 0.0543 Error = -25 Percent = 0.0355 Error = -25 Percent = 0.0355 Error = -26 Percent = 0.0228 Error = -26 Percent = 0.0228 Error = -26 Percent = 0.0146 Error = -26 Percent = 0.0146 Error = -26 Percent = 0.0095 Error = -26 Percent = 0.0095 Error = -27 Percent = 0.0065 Error = -27 Percent = 0.0065 Error = -27 Percent = 0.0053 Error = -27 Percent = 0.0053 Error = -28 Percent = 0.0054 Error = -28 Percent = 0.0054 Error = -28 Percent = 0.007 Error = -28 Percent = 0.007 Error = -29 Percent = 0.0101 Error = -29 Percent = 0.0101 Error = -29 Percent = 0.0153 Error = -29 Percent = 0.0153 Error = -29 Percent = 0.0234 Error = -29 Percent = 0.0234 Error = -30 Percent = 0.0353 Error = -30 Percent = 0.0353 Error = -30 Percent = 0.0524 Error = -30 Percent = 0.0524 Error = -31 Percent = 0.0763 Error = -31 Percent = 0.0763 Error = -31 Percent = 0.1092 Error = -31 Percent = 0.1092 Error = -31 Percent = 0.1532 Error = -31 Percent = 0.1532 Error = -32 Percent = 0.2109 Error = -32 Percent = 0.2109 Error = -32 Percent = 0.2847 Error = -32 Percent = 0.2847 Error = -33 Percent = 0.3769 Error = -33 Percent = 0.3769 Error = -33 Percent = 0.4895 Error = -33 Percent = 0.4895 Error = -34 Percent = 0.6235 Error = -34 Percent = 0.6235 Error = -34 Percent = 0.7789 Error = -34 Percent = 0.7789 Error = -34 Percent = 0.9545 Error = -34 Percent = 0.9545 Error = -35 Percent = 1.1472 Error = -35 Percent = 1.1472 Error = -36 Percent = 1.7733 Error = -36 Percent = 1.7733 Error = -36 Percent = 1.9725 Error = -36 Percent = 1.9725 Error = -37 Percent = 2.1521 Error = -37 Percent = 2.1521 Error = -37 Percent = 2.3029 Error = -37 Percent = 2.3029 Error = -38 Percent = 2.4171 Error = -38 Percent = 2.4171 Error = -38 Percent = 2.4883 Error = -38 Percent = 2.4883 Error = -39 Percent = 2.5125 Error = -39 Percent = 2.5125 Error = -39 Percent = 2.4883 Error = -39 Percent = 2.4883 Error = -39 Percent = 2.4171 Error = -39 Percent = 2.4171 Error = -40 Percent = 2.3029 Error = -40 Percent = 2.3029 Error = -40 Percent = 2.1521 Error = -40 Percent = 2.1521 Error = -41 Percent = 1.9725 Error = -41 Percent = 1.9725 Error = -41 Percent = 1.7733 Error = -41 Percent = 1.7733 Error = -41 Percent = 1.5637 Error = -41 Percent = 1.5637 Error = -42 Percent = 1.1472 Error = -42 Percent = 1.1472 Error = -43 Percent = 0.9545 Error = -43 Percent = 0.9545 Error = -43 Percent = 0.7789 Error = -43 Percent = 0.7789 Error = -44 Percent = 0.6235 Error = -44 Percent = 0.6235 Error = -44 Percent = 0.4895 Error = -44 Percent = 0.4895 Error = -44 Percent = 0.3769 Error = -44 Percent = 0.3769 Error = -45 Percent = 0.2847 Error = -45 Percent = 0.2847 Error = -45 Percent = 0.2109 Error = -45 Percent = 0.2109 Error = -46 Percent = 0.1532 Error = -46 Percent = 0.1532 Error = -46 Percent = 0.1092 Error = 23 Percent = 0.5454 Error = 23 Percent = 0.6133 Error = 23 Percent = 0.6133 Error = 23 Percent = 0.6886 Error = 23 Percent = 0.6886 Error = 22 Percent = 0.7719 Error = 22 Percent = 0.7719 Error = 22 Percent = 0.864 Error = 22 Percent = 0.864 Error = 22 Percent = 0.9655 Error = 22 Percent = 0.9655 Error = 21 Percent = 1.0774 Error = 21 Percent = 1.0774 Error = 21 Percent = 1.2003 Error = 21 Percent = 1.2003 Error = 21 Percent = 1.3352 Error = 21 Percent = 1.3352 Error = 20 Percent = 1.4829 Error = 20 Percent = 1.4829 Error = 20 Percent = 1.6444 Error = 20 Percent = 1.6444 Error = 20 Percent = 1.8207 Error = 20 Percent = 1.8207 Error = 20 Percent = 2.0128 Error = 20 Percent = 2.0128 Error = 19 Percent = 2.2217 Error = 19 Percent = 2.2217 Error = 19 Percent = 2.4484 Error = 19 Percent = 2.4484 Error = 19 Percent = 2.6942 Error = 19 Percent = 2.6942 Error = 18 Percent = 2.96 Error = 18 Percent = 2.96 Error = 18 Percent = 3.247 Error = 18 Percent = 3.247 Error = 18 Percent = 3.5562 Error = 18 Percent = 3.5562 Error = 17 Percent = 3.889 Error = 17 Percent = 3.889 Error = 17 Percent = 4.2462 Error = 17 Percent = 4.2462 Error = 17 Percent = 4.6291 Error = 17 Percent = 4.6291 Error = 16 Percent = 5.0388 Error = 16 Percent = 5.0388 Error = 16 Percent = 5.4761 Error = 16 Percent = 5.4761 Error = 16 Percent = 5.9422 Error = 16 Percent = 5.9422 Error = 15 Percent = 6.438 Error = 15 Percent = 6.438 Error = 15 Percent = 6.9644 Error = 15 Percent = 6.9644 Error = 15 Percent = 7.5221 Error = 15 Percent = 7.5221 Error = 14 Percent = 8.1119 Error = 14 Percent = 8.1119 Error = 14 Percent = 8.7344 Error = 14 Percent = 8.7344 Error = 14 Percent = 9.3901 Error = 14 Percent = 9.3901 Error = 13 Percent = 10.079 Error = 13 Percent = 10.079 Error = 13 Percent = 10.803 Error = 13 Percent = 10.803 Error = 13 Percent = 11.56 Error = 13 Percent = 11.56 Error = 12 Percent = 12.351 Error = 12 Percent = 12.351 Error = 12 Percent = 13.175 Error = 12 Percent = 13.175 Error = 12 Percent = 14.033 Error = 12 Percent = 14.033 Error = 12 Percent = 14.924 Error = 12 Percent = 14.924 Error = 11 Percent = 15.846 Error = 11 Percent = 15.846 Error = 11 Percent = 16.8 Error = 11 Percent = 16.8 Error = 11 Percent = 17.783 Error = 11 Percent = 17.783 Error = 10 Percent = 19.834 Error = 10 Percent = 19.834 Error = 9 Percent = 21.984 Error = 9 Percent = 21.984 Error = 9 Percent = 24.216 Error = 9 Percent = 24.216 Error = 7 Percent = 28.843 Error = 7 Percent = 28.843 Error = 6 Percent = 34.658 Error = 6 Percent = 34.658 Error = 5 Percent = 36.897 Error = 5 Percent = 36.897 Error = 4 Percent = 39.038 Error = 4 Percent = 39.038 Error = 4 Percent = 40.062 Error = 4 Percent = 40.062 Error = 4 Percent = 41.049 Error = 4 Percent = 41.049 Error = 4 Percent = 41.994 Error = 4 Percent = 41.994 Error = 3 Percent = 42.896 Error = 3 Percent = 42.896 Error = 3 Percent = 43.748 Error = 3 Percent = 43.748 Error = 3 Percent = 44.549 Error = 3 Percent = 44.549 Error = 2 Percent = 45.293 Error = 2 Percent = 45.293 Error = 2 Percent = 45.979 Error = 2 Percent = 45.979 Error = 2 Percent = 46.603 Error = 2 Percent = 46.603 Error = 1 Percent = 47.163 Error = 1 Percent = 47.163 Error = 1 Percent = 47.655 Error = 1 Percent = 47.655 Error = 1 Percent = 48.077 Error = 1 Percent = 48.077 Error = 0 Percent = 48.428 Error = 0 Percent = 48.428 Error = -0 Percent = 48.707 Error = -0 Percent = 48.707 Error = -0 Percent = 48.911 Error = -0 Percent = 48.911 Error = -1 Percent = 49.039 Error = -1 Percent = 49.039 Error = -1 Percent = 49.092 Error = -1 Percent = 49.092 Error = -1 Percent = 49.094 Error = -1 Percent = 49.094 Error = -1 Percent = 49.069 Error = -1 Percent = 49.069 Error = -2 Percent = 48.97 Error = -2 Percent = 48.97 Error = -2 Percent = 48.796 Error = -2 Percent = 48.796 Error = -2 Percent = 48.546 Error = -2 Percent = 48.546 Error = -3 Percent = 48.223 Error = -3 Percent = 48.223 Error = -3 Percent = 47.829 Error = -3 Percent = 47.829 Error = -3 Percent = 47.363 Error = -3 Percent = 47.363 Error = -4 Percent = 46.83 Error = -4 Percent = 46.83 Error = -4 Percent = 46.231 Error = -4 Percent = 46.231 Error = -4 Percent = 45.569 Error = -4 Percent = 45.569 Error = -4 Percent = 44.847 Error = -4 Percent = 44.847 Error = -5 Percent = 44.068 Error = -5 Percent = 44.068 Error = -5 Percent = 43.235 Error = -5 Percent = 43.235 Error = -5 Percent = 42.353 Error = -5 Percent = 42.353 Error = -6 Percent = 41.424 Error = -6 Percent = 41.424 Error = -6 Percent = 40.453 Error = -6 Percent = 40.453 Error = -6 Percent = 39.443 Error = -6 Percent = 39.443 Error = -7 Percent = 37.325 Error = -7 Percent = 37.325 Error = -10 Percent = 26.965 Error = -10 Percent = 26.965 Error = -11 Percent = 23.53 Error = -11 Percent = 23.53 Error = -12 Percent = 21.32 Error = -12 Percent = 21.32 Error = -12 Percent = 19.199 Error = -12 Percent = 19.199 Error = -13 Percent = 17.182 Error = -13 Percent = 17.182 Error = -13 Percent = 16.216 Error = -13 Percent = 16.216 Error = -13 Percent = 15.281 Error = -13 Percent = 15.281 Error = -14 Percent = 14.378 Error = -14 Percent = 14.378 Error = -14 Percent = 13.507 Error = -14 Percent = 13.507 Error = -14 Percent = 12.67 Error = -14 Percent = 12.67 Error = -15 Percent = 11.865 Error = -15 Percent = 11.865 Error = -15 Percent = 11.095 Error = -15 Percent = 11.095 Error = -15 Percent = 10.359 Error = -15 Percent = 10.359 Error = -16 Percent = 9.656 Error = -16 Percent = 9.656 Error = -16 Percent = 8.9872 Error = -16 Percent = 8.9872 Error = -16 Percent = 8.3518 Error = -16 Percent = 8.3518 Error = -17 Percent = 7.7492 Error = -17 Percent = 7.7492 Error = -17 Percent = 7.179 Error = -17 Percent = 7.179 Error = -17 Percent = 6.6405 Error = -17 Percent = 6.6405 Error = -18 Percent = 6.1328 Error = -18 Percent = 6.1328 Error = -18 Percent = 5.6552 Error = -18 Percent = 5.6552 Error = -18 Percent = 5.2067 Error = -18 Percent = 5.2067 Error = -19 Percent = 4.7863 Error = -19 Percent = 4.7863 Error = -19 Percent = 4.3931 Error = -19 Percent = 4.3931 Error = -19 Percent = 4.0259 Error = -19 Percent = 4.0259 Error = -20 Percent = 3.6837 Error = -20 Percent = 3.6837 Error = -20 Percent = 3.3654 Error = -20 Percent = 3.3654 Error = -20 Percent = 3.0698 Error = -20 Percent = 3.0698 Error = -20 Percent = 2.7958 Error = -20 Percent = 2.7958 Error = -21 Percent = 2.5424 Error = -21 Percent = 2.5424 Error = -21 Percent = 2.3083 Error = -21 Percent = 2.3083 Error = -21 Percent = 2.0925 Error = -21 Percent = 2.0925 Error = -22 Percent = 1.894 Error = -22 Percent = 1.894 Error = -22 Percent = 1.7117 Error = -22 Percent = 1.7117 Error = -22 Percent = 1.5445 Error = -22 Percent = 1.5445 Error = -23 Percent = 1.3914 Error = -23 Percent = 1.3914 Error = -23 Percent = 1.2516 Error = -23 Percent = 1.2516 Error = -23 Percent = 1.1242 Error = -23 Percent = 1.1242 Error = -24 Percent = 1.0081 Error = -24 Percent = 1.0081 Error = -24 Percent = 0.9026 Error = -24 Percent = 0.9026 Error = -24 Percent = 0.8069 Error = -24 Percent = 0.8069 Error = -25 Percent = 0.7202 Error = -25 Percent = 0.7202 Error = -25 Percent = 0.6419 Error = -25 Percent = 0.6419 Error = -25 Percent = 0.5711 Error = -25 Percent = 0.5711 Error = -26 Percent = 0.5074 Error = -26 Percent = 0.5074 Error = -26 Percent = 0.4501 Error = -26 Percent = 0.4501 Error = -26 Percent = 0.3987 Error = -26 Percent = 0.3987 Error = -27 Percent = 0.3525 Error = -27 Percent = 0.3525 Error = -27 Percent = 0.3113 Error = -27 Percent = 0.3113 Error = -27 Percent = 0.2744 Error = -27 Percent = 0.2744 Error = -28 Percent = 0.2416 Error = -28 Percent = 0.2416 Error = -28 Percent = 0.2123 Error = -28 Percent = 0.2123 Error = -28 Percent = 0.1863 Error = -28 Percent = 0.1863 Error = -28 Percent = 0.1632 Error = -28 Percent = 0.1632 Error = -29 Percent = 0.1428 Error = -29 Percent = 0.1428 Error = -29 Percent = 0.1247 Error = -29 Percent = 0.1247 Error = -29 Percent = 0.1087 Error = -29 Percent = 0.1087 Error = -30 Percent = 0.0947 Error = -30 Percent = 0.0947 Error = -30 Percent = 0.0823 Error = -30 Percent = 0.0823 Error = -30 Percent = 0.0715 Error = -30 Percent = 0.0715 Error = -31 Percent = 0.0619 Error = -31 Percent = 0.0619 Error = -31 Percent = 0.0536 Error = -31 Percent = 0.0536 Error = -31 Percent = 0.0463 Error = -31 Percent = 0.0463 Error = -32 Percent = 0.0399 Error = -32 Percent = 0.0399 Error = -32 Percent = 0.0344 Error = -32 Percent = 0.0344 Error = -32 Percent = 0.0296 Error = -32 Percent = 0.0296 Error = -33 Percent = 0.0254 Error = -33 Percent = 0.0254 Error = -33 Percent = 0.0218 Error = -33 Percent = 0.0218 Error = -33 Percent = 0.0186 Error = -33 Percent = 0.0186 Error = -34 Percent = 0.0159 Error = -34 Percent = 0.0159 Error = -34 Percent = 0.0136 Error = -34 Percent = 0.0136 Error = -34 Percent = 0.0116 Error = -34 Percent = 0.0116 Error = -35 Percent = 0.0099 Error = -35 Percent = 0.0099 Error = -35 Percent = 0.0084 Error = -35 Percent = 0.0084 Error = -35 Percent = 0.0071 Error = -35 Percent = 0.0071 Error = -36 Percent = 0.006 Error = -36 Percent = 0.006 Error = -36 Percent = 0.0051 Error = -36 Percent = 0.0051 Error = -36 Percent = 0.0043 Error = -36 Percent = 0.0043 Error = -36 Percent = 0.0036 Error = -36 Percent = 0.0036 Error = -37 Percent = 0.003 Error = -37 Percent = 0.003 Error = -37 Percent = 0.0026 Error = -37 Percent = 0.0026 Error = -37 Percent = 0.0021 Error = -37 Percent = 0.0021 Error = -38 Percent = 0.0018 Error = -38 Percent = 0.0018 Error = -38 Percent = 0.0015 Error = -38 Percent = 0.0015 Error = -38 Percent = 0.0013 Error = -38 Percent = 0.0013 Error = -39 Percent = 0.001 Error = -39 Percent = 0.001 Error = -39 Percent = .00087 Error = -39 Percent = .00087 Error = -39 Percent = .00072 Error = -39 Percent = .00072 Error = -40 Percent = 0.0006 Error = -40 Percent = 0.0006 Error = -40 Percent = 0.0005 Error = 15 Percent = 5.6604 Error = 15 Percent = 5.6604 Error = 5 Percent = 33.962 Error = 5 Percent = 33.962 Error = -5 Percent = 52.83 Error = -5 Percent = 52.83 Error = -15 Percent = 5.6604 Error = -15 Percent = 5.6604 Error = -25 Percent = 0 Error = -25 Percent = 0 Error = -35 Percent = 1.8868 Error = -35 Percent = 1.8868
Distribution of Prediction Errors for MASONRY

Quantile = 2.2656 Residual = 14.7731671 Quantile = 1.8733 Residual = 12.5678858 Quantile = 1.6517 Residual = 10.7330393 Quantile = 1.4903 Residual = 9.2291300 Quantile = 1.3604 Residual = 8.8642187 Quantile = 1.2501 Residual = 8.5836499 Quantile = 1.1532 Residual = 8.4049284 Quantile = 1.0661 Residual = 5.7441343 Quantile = 0.9864 Residual = 5.5419545 Quantile = 0.9125 Residual = 4.3838353 Quantile = 0.8433 Residual = 4.1393746 Quantile = 0.7779 Residual = 3.8950245 Quantile = 0.7157 Residual = 3.8122588 Quantile = 0.6561 Residual = 3.6202524 Quantile = 0.5988 Residual = 2.5693961 Quantile = 0.5434 Residual = 2.5583717 Quantile = 0.4896 Residual = 2.2988868 Quantile = 0.4372 Residual = 0.5421461 Quantile = 0.386 Residual = 0.3791892 Quantile = 0.3357 Residual = 0.1655549 Quantile = 0.2863 Residual = 0.0197750 Quantile = 0.2376 Residual = -0.0130191 Quantile = 0.1894 Residual = -0.1397779 Quantile = 0.1417 Residual = -0.5592868 Quantile = 0.0943 Residual = -0.7984324 Quantile = 0.0471 Residual = -0.8833912 Quantile = -1E-17 Residual = -0.9047706 Quantile = -0.047 Residual = -0.9162323 Quantile = -0.094 Residual = -0.9820216 Quantile = -0.142 Residual = -0.9855069 Quantile = -0.189 Residual = -1.0492481 Quantile = -0.238 Residual = -1.9311696 Quantile = -0.286 Residual = -1.9441211 Quantile = -0.336 Residual = -1.9956608 Quantile = -0.386 Residual = -2.1797579 Quantile = -0.437 Residual = -2.4256382 Quantile = -0.49 Residual = -2.5369760 Quantile = -0.543 Residual = -2.7541735 Quantile = -0.599 Residual = -3.7750853 Quantile = -0.656 Residual = -4.8207304 Quantile = -0.716 Residual = -4.8305807 Quantile = -0.778 Residual = -5.2908226 Quantile = -0.843 Residual = -5.4029534 Quantile = -0.913 Residual = -5.6293186 Quantile = -0.986 Residual = -5.7127677 Quantile = -1.066 Residual = -5.8561171 Quantile = -1.153 Residual = -6.2519966 Quantile = -1.25 Residual = -6.8318652 Quantile = -1.36 Residual = -9.7586039 Quantile = -1.49 Residual = -10.0737799 Quantile = -1.652 Residual = -15.7528784 Quantile = -1.873 Residual = -15.8261868 Quantile = -2.266 Residual = -38.5795289 Slope = 8.1261 Y = -1.03
Prediction Error Q-Q plot for MASONRY

DATE = Jul1982 Forecasts = 264.6559 DATE = Jun1982 Forecasts = 263.1820 DATE = Jun1982 Forecasts = 263.1820 DATE = May1982 Forecasts = 245.6268 DATE = May1982 Forecasts = 245.6268 DATE = Apr1982 Forecasts = 240.5606 DATE = Apr1982 Forecasts = 240.5606 DATE = Mar1982 Forecasts = 234.9520 DATE = Mar1982 Forecasts = 234.9520 DATE = Feb1982 Forecasts = 215.5709 DATE = Feb1982 Forecasts = 215.5709 DATE = Jan1982 Forecasts = 224.0586 DATE = Jan1982 Forecasts = 224.0586 DATE = Dec1981 Forecasts = 262.7370 DATE = Dec1981 Forecasts = 262.7370 DATE = Nov1981 Forecasts = 275.6398 DATE = Nov1981 Forecasts = 275.6398 DATE = Oct1981 Forecasts = 298.3529 DATE = Oct1981 Forecasts = 298.3529 DATE = Sep1981 Forecasts = 293.4984 DATE = Sep1981 Forecasts = 293.4984 DATE = Aug1981 Forecasts = 295.5208 DATE = Aug1981 Forecasts = 295.5208 DATE = Jul1981 Forecasts = 292.0162 DATE = Jul1981 Forecasts = 292.0162 DATE = Jun1981 Forecasts = 289.8593 DATE = Jun1981 Forecasts = 289.8593 DATE = May1981 Forecasts = 283.5344 DATE = May1981 Forecasts = 283.5344 DATE = Apr1981 Forecasts = 277.3797 DATE = Apr1981 Forecasts = 277.3797 DATE = Mar1981 Forecasts = 263.0951 DATE = Mar1981 Forecasts = 263.0951 DATE = Feb1981 Forecasts = 253.2580 DATE = Feb1981 Forecasts = 253.2580 DATE = Jan1981 Forecasts = 269.2738 DATE = Jan1981 Forecasts = 269.2738 DATE = Dec1980 Forecasts = 301.8293 DATE = Dec1980 Forecasts = 301.8293 DATE = Nov1980 Forecasts = 312.5207 DATE = Nov1980 Forecasts = 312.5207 DATE = Oct1980 Forecasts = 318.4802 DATE = Oct1980 Forecasts = 318.4802 DATE = Sep1980 Forecasts = 308.3162 DATE = Sep1980 Forecasts = 308.3162 DATE = Aug1980 Forecasts = 316.8312 DATE = Aug1980 Forecasts = 316.8312 DATE = Jul1980 Forecasts = 311.5834 DATE = Jul1980 Forecasts = 311.5834 DATE = Jun1980 Forecasts = 311.6751 DATE = Jun1980 Forecasts = 311.6751 DATE = May1980 Forecasts = 307.4128 DATE = May1980 Forecasts = 307.4128 DATE = Apr1980 Forecasts = 304.1306 DATE = Apr1980 Forecasts = 304.1306 DATE = Mar1980 Forecasts = 330.5795 DATE = Mar1980 Forecasts = 330.5795 DATE = Feb1980 Forecasts = 286.8492 DATE = Feb1980 Forecasts = 286.8492 DATE = Jan1980 Forecasts = 281.2321 DATE = Jan1980 Forecasts = 281.2321 DATE = Dec1979 Forecasts = 322.4048 DATE = Dec1979 Forecasts = 322.4048 DATE = Nov1979 Forecasts = 328.7130 DATE = Nov1979 Forecasts = 328.7130 DATE = Oct1979 Forecasts = 333.9579 DATE = Oct1979 Forecasts = 333.9579 DATE = Sep1979 Forecasts = 330.6542 DATE = Sep1979 Forecasts = 330.6542 DATE = Aug1979 Forecasts = 336.1855 DATE = Aug1979 Forecasts = 336.1855 DATE = Jul1979 Forecasts = 324.7877 DATE = Jul1979 Forecasts = 324.7877 DATE = Jun1979 Forecasts = 327.3957 DATE = Jun1979 Forecasts = 327.3957 DATE = May1979 Forecasts = 314.2416 DATE = May1979 Forecasts = 314.2416 DATE = Apr1979 Forecasts = 323.0262 DATE = Apr1979 Forecasts = 323.0262 DATE = Mar1979 Forecasts = 294.6358 DATE = Mar1979 Forecasts = 294.6358 DATE = Feb1979 Forecasts = 266.6319 DATE = Feb1979 Forecasts = 266.6319 DATE = Jan1979 Forecasts = 261.1306 DATE = Jan1979 Forecasts = 261.1306 DATE = Dec1978 Forecasts = 302.1011 DATE = Dec1978 Forecasts = 302.1011 DATE = Nov1978 Forecasts = 312.6798 DATE = Nov1978 Forecasts = 312.6798 DATE = Oct1978 Forecasts = 312.4050 DATE = Oct1978 Forecasts = 312.4050 DATE = Sep1978 Forecasts = 312.5441 DATE = Sep1978 Forecasts = 312.5441 DATE = Aug1978 Forecasts = 317.7256 DATE = Aug1978 Forecasts = 317.7256 DATE = Jul1978 Forecasts = 312.3030 DATE = Jul1978 Forecasts = 312.3030 DATE = Jun1978 Forecasts = 314.1561 DATE = Jun1978 Forecasts = 314.1561 DATE = May1978 Forecasts = 300.7908 DATE = May1978 Forecasts = 300.7908 DATE = Apr1978 Forecasts = 284.1164 DATE = Apr1978 Forecasts = 284.1164 DATE = Mar1978 Forecasts = 259.8670 DATE = Jul1982 MASONRY = 270.4000 DATE = Jun1982 MASONRY = 262.2000 DATE = May1982 MASONRY = 260.4000 DATE = Apr1982 MASONRY = 244.7000 DATE = Mar1982 MASONRY = 228.7000 DATE = Feb1982 MASONRY = 224.8000 DATE = Jan1982 MASONRY = 214.3000 DATE = Dec1981 MASONRY = 260.2000 DATE = Nov1981 MASONRY = 275.5000 DATE = Oct1981 MASONRY = 282.6000 DATE = Sep1981 MASONRY = 292.7000 DATE = Aug1981 MASONRY = 295.9000 DATE = Jul1981 MASONRY = 291.1000 DATE = Jun1981 MASONRY = 289.3000 DATE = May1981 MASONRY = 283.7000 DATE = Apr1981 MASONRY = 281.0000 DATE = Mar1981 MASONRY = 271.5000 DATE = Feb1981 MASONRY = 258.8000 DATE = Jan1981 MASONRY = 259.2000 DATE = Dec1980 MASONRY = 296.2000 DATE = Nov1980 MASONRY = 307.7000 DATE = Oct1980 MASONRY = 318.5000 DATE = Sep1980 MASONRY = 312.7000 DATE = Aug1980 MASONRY = 314.9000 DATE = Jul1980 MASONRY = 310.7000 DATE = Jun1980 MASONRY = 307.9000 DATE = May1980 MASONRY = 301.7000 DATE = Apr1980 MASONRY = 299.3000 DATE = Mar1980 MASONRY = 292.0000 DATE = Feb1980 MASONRY = 285.8000 DATE = Jan1980 MASONRY = 293.8000 DATE = Dec1979 MASONRY = 321.5000 DATE = Nov1979 MASONRY = 328.7000 DATE = Oct1979 MASONRY = 334.5000 DATE = Sep1979 MASONRY = 327.9000 DATE = Aug1979 MASONRY = 335.2000 DATE = Jul1979 MASONRY = 328.6000 DATE = Jun1979 MASONRY = 325.4000 DATE = May1979 MASONRY = 316.8000 DATE = Apr1979 MASONRY = 307.2000 DATE = Mar1979 MASONRY = 303.5000 DATE = Feb1979 MASONRY = 259.8000 DATE = Jan1979 MASONRY = 263.7000 DATE = Dec1978 MASONRY = 304.4000 DATE = Nov1978 MASONRY = 310.5000 DATE = Oct1978 MASONRY = 316.3000 DATE = Sep1978 MASONRY = 310.6000 DATE = Aug1978 MASONRY = 315.3000 DATE = Jul1978 MASONRY = 306.9000 DATE = Jun1978 MASONRY = 308.3000 DATE = May1978 MASONRY = 295.5000 DATE = Apr1978 MASONRY = 292.7000 DATE = Mar1978 MASONRY = 270.6000 DATE = Feb1978 MASONRY = 237.4000 DATE = Jan1978 MASONRY = 234.3000 DATE = Dec1977 MASONRY = 276.7000 DATE = Nov1977 MASONRY = 286.2000 DATE = Oct1977 MASONRY = 288.7000 DATE = Sep1977 MASONRY = 287.4000 DATE = Aug1977 MASONRY = 290.5000 DATE = Jul1977 MASONRY = 280.8000 DATE = Jun1977 MASONRY = 278.0000 DATE = May1977 MASONRY = 261.5000 DATE = Apr1977 MASONRY = 252.2000 DATE = Mar1977 MASONRY = 235.1000 DATE = Feb1977 MASONRY = 216.3000 DATE = Jan1977 MASONRY = 196.6000 DATE = Jul1982 Upper 95% = 280.8692 Lower 95% = 248.4426 DATE = Jun1982 Upper 95% = 279.3953 Lower 95% = 246.9687 DATE = Jun1982 Upper 95% = 279.3953 Lower 95% = 246.9687 DATE = May1982 Upper 95% = 261.8401 Lower 95% = 229.4135 DATE = May1982 Upper 95% = 261.8401 Lower 95% = 229.4135 DATE = Apr1982 Upper 95% = 256.7739 Lower 95% = 224.3473 DATE = Apr1982 Upper 95% = 256.7739 Lower 95% = 224.3473 DATE = Mar1982 Upper 95% = 251.1653 Lower 95% = 218.7387 DATE = Mar1982 Upper 95% = 251.1653 Lower 95% = 218.7387 DATE = Feb1982 Upper 95% = 231.7842 Lower 95% = 199.3576 DATE = Feb1982 Upper 95% = 231.7842 Lower 95% = 199.3576 DATE = Jan1982 Upper 95% = 240.2719 Lower 95% = 207.8453 DATE = Jan1982 Upper 95% = 240.2719 Lower 95% = 207.8453 DATE = Dec1981 Upper 95% = 278.9503 Lower 95% = 246.5237 DATE = Dec1981 Upper 95% = 278.9503 Lower 95% = 246.5237 DATE = Nov1981 Upper 95% = 291.8531 Lower 95% = 259.4265 DATE = Nov1981 Upper 95% = 291.8531 Lower 95% = 259.4265 DATE = Oct1981 Upper 95% = 314.5662 Lower 95% = 282.1396 DATE = Oct1981 Upper 95% = 314.5662 Lower 95% = 282.1396 DATE = Sep1981 Upper 95% = 309.7117 Lower 95% = 277.2851 DATE = Sep1981 Upper 95% = 309.7117 Lower 95% = 277.2851 DATE = Aug1981 Upper 95% = 311.7341 Lower 95% = 279.3075 DATE = Aug1981 Upper 95% = 311.7341 Lower 95% = 279.3075 DATE = Jul1981 Upper 95% = 308.2295 Lower 95% = 275.8029 DATE = Jul1981 Upper 95% = 308.2295 Lower 95% = 275.8029 DATE = Jun1981 Upper 95% = 306.0726 Lower 95% = 273.6460 DATE = Jun1981 Upper 95% = 306.0726 Lower 95% = 273.6460 DATE = May1981 Upper 95% = 299.7478 Lower 95% = 267.3211 DATE = May1981 Upper 95% = 299.7478 Lower 95% = 267.3211 DATE = Apr1981 Upper 95% = 293.5931 Lower 95% = 261.1664 DATE = Apr1981 Upper 95% = 293.5931 Lower 95% = 261.1664 DATE = Mar1981 Upper 95% = 279.3084 Lower 95% = 246.8818 DATE = Mar1981 Upper 95% = 279.3084 Lower 95% = 246.8818 DATE = Feb1981 Upper 95% = 269.4714 Lower 95% = 237.0447 DATE = Feb1981 Upper 95% = 269.4714 Lower 95% = 237.0447 DATE = Jan1981 Upper 95% = 285.4871 Lower 95% = 253.0605 DATE = Jan1981 Upper 95% = 285.4871 Lower 95% = 253.0605 DATE = Dec1980 Upper 95% = 318.0426 Lower 95% = 285.6160 DATE = Dec1980 Upper 95% = 318.0426 Lower 95% = 285.6160 DATE = Nov1980 Upper 95% = 328.7340 Lower 95% = 296.3074 DATE = Nov1980 Upper 95% = 328.7340 Lower 95% = 296.3074 DATE = Oct1980 Upper 95% = 334.6935 Lower 95% = 302.2669 DATE = Oct1980 Upper 95% = 334.6935 Lower 95% = 302.2669 DATE = Sep1980 Upper 95% = 324.5295 Lower 95% = 292.1029 DATE = Sep1980 Upper 95% = 324.5295 Lower 95% = 292.1029 DATE = Aug1980 Upper 95% = 333.0445 Lower 95% = 300.6179 DATE = Aug1980 Upper 95% = 333.0445 Lower 95% = 300.6179 DATE = Jul1980 Upper 95% = 327.7967 Lower 95% = 295.3701 DATE = Jul1980 Upper 95% = 327.7967 Lower 95% = 295.3701 DATE = Jun1980 Upper 95% = 327.8884 Lower 95% = 295.4618 DATE = Jun1980 Upper 95% = 327.8884 Lower 95% = 295.4618 DATE = May1980 Upper 95% = 323.6261 Lower 95% = 291.1995 DATE = May1980 Upper 95% = 323.6261 Lower 95% = 291.1995 DATE = Apr1980 Upper 95% = 320.3439 Lower 95% = 287.9173 DATE = Apr1980 Upper 95% = 320.3439 Lower 95% = 287.9173 DATE = Mar1980 Upper 95% = 346.7928 Lower 95% = 314.3662 DATE = Mar1980 Upper 95% = 346.7928 Lower 95% = 314.3662 DATE = Feb1980 Upper 95% = 303.0626 Lower 95% = 270.6359 DATE = Feb1980 Upper 95% = 303.0626 Lower 95% = 270.6359 DATE = Jan1980 Upper 95% = 297.4454 Lower 95% = 265.0188 DATE = Jan1980 Upper 95% = 297.4454 Lower 95% = 265.0188 DATE = Dec1979 Upper 95% = 338.6181 Lower 95% = 306.1915 DATE = Dec1979 Upper 95% = 338.6181 Lower 95% = 306.1915 DATE = Nov1979 Upper 95% = 344.9263 Lower 95% = 312.4997 DATE = Nov1979 Upper 95% = 344.9263 Lower 95% = 312.4997 DATE = Oct1979 Upper 95% = 350.1712 Lower 95% = 317.7445 DATE = Oct1979 Upper 95% = 350.1712 Lower 95% = 317.7445 DATE = Sep1979 Upper 95% = 346.8675 Lower 95% = 314.4409 DATE = Sep1979 Upper 95% = 346.8675 Lower 95% = 314.4409 DATE = Aug1979 Upper 95% = 352.3988 Lower 95% = 319.9722 DATE = Aug1979 Upper 95% = 352.3988 Lower 95% = 319.9722 DATE = Jul1979 Upper 95% = 341.0011 Lower 95% = 308.5744 DATE = Jul1979 Upper 95% = 341.0011 Lower 95% = 308.5744 DATE = Jun1979 Upper 95% = 343.6090 Lower 95% = 311.1824 DATE = Jun1979 Upper 95% = 343.6090 Lower 95% = 311.1824 DATE = May1979 Upper 95% = 330.4549 Lower 95% = 298.0283 DATE = May1979 Upper 95% = 330.4549 Lower 95% = 298.0283 DATE = Apr1979 Upper 95% = 339.2395 Lower 95% = 306.8129 DATE = Apr1979 Upper 95% = 339.2395 Lower 95% = 306.8129 DATE = Mar1979 Upper 95% = 310.8491 Lower 95% = 278.4225 DATE = Mar1979 Upper 95% = 310.8491 Lower 95% = 278.4225 DATE = Feb1979 Upper 95% = 282.8452 Lower 95% = 250.4186 DATE = Feb1979 Upper 95% = 282.8452 Lower 95% = 250.4186 DATE = Jan1979 Upper 95% = 277.3439 Lower 95% = 244.9173 DATE = Jan1979 Upper 95% = 277.3439 Lower 95% = 244.9173 DATE = Dec1978 Upper 95% = 318.3144 Lower 95% = 285.8878 DATE = Dec1978 Upper 95% = 318.3144 Lower 95% = 285.8878 DATE = Nov1978 Upper 95% = 328.8931 Lower 95% = 296.4664 DATE = Nov1978 Upper 95% = 328.8931 Lower 95% = 296.4664 DATE = Oct1978 Upper 95% = 328.6183 Lower 95% = 296.1917 DATE = Oct1978 Upper 95% = 328.6183 Lower 95% = 296.1917 DATE = Sep1978 Upper 95% = 328.7574 Lower 95% = 296.3308 DATE = Sep1978 Upper 95% = 328.7574 Lower 95% = 296.3308 DATE = Aug1978 Upper 95% = 333.9389 Lower 95% = 301.5123 DATE = Aug1978 Upper 95% = 333.9389 Lower 95% = 301.5123 DATE = Jul1978 Upper 95% = 328.5163 Lower 95% = 296.0896 DATE = Jul1978 Upper 95% = 328.5163 Lower 95% = 296.0896 DATE = Jun1978 Upper 95% = 330.3694 Lower 95% = 297.9428 DATE = Jun1978 Upper 95% = 330.3694 Lower 95% = 297.9428 DATE = May1978 Upper 95% = 317.0041 Lower 95% = 284.5775 DATE = May1978 Upper 95% = 317.0041 Lower 95% = 284.5775 DATE = Apr1978 Upper 95% = 300.3297 Lower 95% = 267.9030 DATE = Apr1978 Upper 95% = 300.3297 Lower 95% = 267.9030 DATE = Mar1978 Upper 95% = 276.0803 Lower 95% = 243.6537
Model for MASONRY

X = 8248 DATE = Jul1983 Forecasts = 248.5150 DATE = Jun1983 Forecasts = 240.3150 DATE = Jun1983 Forecasts = 240.3150 DATE = May1983 Forecasts = 238.5150 DATE = May1983 Forecasts = 238.5150 DATE = Apr1983 Forecasts = 222.8149 DATE = Apr1983 Forecasts = 222.8149 DATE = Mar1983 Forecasts = 206.8150 DATE = Mar1983 Forecasts = 206.8150 DATE = Feb1983 Forecasts = 202.9148 DATE = Feb1983 Forecasts = 202.9148 DATE = Jan1983 Forecasts = 192.4156 DATE = Jan1983 Forecasts = 192.4156 DATE = Dec1982 Forecasts = 238.3128 DATE = Dec1982 Forecasts = 238.3128 DATE = Nov1982 Forecasts = 253.6226 DATE = Nov1982 Forecasts = 253.6226 DATE = Oct1982 Forecasts = 260.6875 DATE = Oct1982 Forecasts = 260.6875 DATE = Sep1982 Forecasts = 270.9125 DATE = Sep1982 Forecasts = 270.9125 DATE = Aug1982 Forecasts = 273.6607 DATE = Aug1982 Forecasts = 273.6607 DATE = Jul1982 Forecasts = 264.6559 DATE = Jul1982 Forecasts = 264.6559 DATE = Jun1982 Forecasts = 263.1820 DATE = Jun1982 Forecasts = 263.1820 DATE = May1982 Forecasts = 245.6268 DATE = May1982 Forecasts = 245.6268 DATE = Apr1982 Forecasts = 240.5606 DATE = Apr1982 Forecasts = 240.5606 DATE = Mar1982 Forecasts = 234.9520 DATE = Mar1982 Forecasts = 234.9520 DATE = Feb1982 Forecasts = 215.5709 DATE = Feb1982 Forecasts = 215.5709 DATE = Jan1982 Forecasts = 224.0586 DATE = Jan1982 Forecasts = 224.0586 DATE = Dec1981 Forecasts = 262.7370 DATE = Dec1981 Forecasts = 262.7370 DATE = Nov1981 Forecasts = 275.6398 DATE = Nov1981 Forecasts = 275.6398 DATE = Oct1981 Forecasts = 298.3529 DATE = Oct1981 Forecasts = 298.3529 DATE = Sep1981 Forecasts = 293.4984 DATE = Sep1981 Forecasts = 293.4984 DATE = Aug1981 Forecasts = 295.5208 DATE = Aug1981 Forecasts = 295.5208 DATE = Jul1981 Forecasts = 292.0162 DATE = Jul1981 Forecasts = 292.0162 DATE = Jun1981 Forecasts = 289.8593 DATE = Jun1981 Forecasts = 289.8593 DATE = May1981 Forecasts = 283.5344 DATE = May1981 Forecasts = 283.5344 DATE = Apr1981 Forecasts = 277.3797 DATE = Apr1981 Forecasts = 277.3797 DATE = Mar1981 Forecasts = 263.0951 DATE = Mar1981 Forecasts = 263.0951 DATE = Feb1981 Forecasts = 253.2580 DATE = Feb1981 Forecasts = 253.2580 DATE = Jan1981 Forecasts = 269.2738 DATE = Jan1981 Forecasts = 269.2738 DATE = Dec1980 Forecasts = 301.8293 DATE = Dec1980 Forecasts = 301.8293 DATE = Nov1980 Forecasts = 312.5207 DATE = Nov1980 Forecasts = 312.5207 DATE = Oct1980 Forecasts = 318.4802 DATE = Oct1980 Forecasts = 318.4802 DATE = Sep1980 Forecasts = 308.3162 DATE = Sep1980 Forecasts = 308.3162 DATE = Aug1980 Forecasts = 316.8312 DATE = Aug1980 Forecasts = 316.8312 DATE = Jul1980 Forecasts = 311.5834 DATE = Jul1980 Forecasts = 311.5834 DATE = Jun1980 Forecasts = 311.6751 DATE = Jun1980 Forecasts = 311.6751 DATE = May1980 Forecasts = 307.4128 DATE = May1980 Forecasts = 307.4128 DATE = Apr1980 Forecasts = 304.1306 DATE = Apr1980 Forecasts = 304.1306 DATE = Mar1980 Forecasts = 330.5795 DATE = Mar1980 Forecasts = 330.5795 DATE = Feb1980 Forecasts = 286.8492 DATE = Feb1980 Forecasts = 286.8492 DATE = Jan1980 Forecasts = 281.2321 DATE = Jan1980 Forecasts = 281.2321 DATE = Dec1979 Forecasts = 322.4048 DATE = Dec1979 Forecasts = 322.4048 DATE = Nov1979 Forecasts = 328.7130 DATE = Nov1979 Forecasts = 328.7130 DATE = Oct1979 Forecasts = 333.9579 DATE = Oct1979 Forecasts = 333.9579 DATE = Sep1979 Forecasts = 330.6542 DATE = Sep1979 Forecasts = 330.6542 DATE = Aug1979 Forecasts = 336.1855 DATE = Aug1979 Forecasts = 336.1855 DATE = Jul1979 Forecasts = 324.7877 DATE = Jul1979 Forecasts = 324.7877 DATE = Jun1979 Forecasts = 327.3957 DATE = Jun1979 Forecasts = 327.3957 DATE = May1979 Forecasts = 314.2416 DATE = May1979 Forecasts = 314.2416 DATE = Apr1979 Forecasts = 323.0262 DATE = Apr1979 Forecasts = 323.0262 DATE = Mar1979 Forecasts = 294.6358 DATE = Mar1979 Forecasts = 294.6358 DATE = Feb1979 Forecasts = 266.6319 DATE = Feb1979 Forecasts = 266.6319 DATE = Jan1979 Forecasts = 261.1306 DATE = Jan1979 Forecasts = 261.1306 DATE = Dec1978 Forecasts = 302.1011 DATE = Dec1978 Forecasts = 302.1011 DATE = Nov1978 Forecasts = 312.6798 DATE = Nov1978 Forecasts = 312.6798 DATE = Oct1978 Forecasts = 312.4050 DATE = Oct1978 Forecasts = 312.4050 DATE = Sep1978 Forecasts = 312.5441 DATE = Sep1978 Forecasts = 312.5441 DATE = Aug1978 Forecasts = 317.7256 DATE = Aug1978 Forecasts = 317.7256 DATE = Jul1978 Forecasts = 312.3030 DATE = Jul1978 Forecasts = 312.3030 DATE = Jun1978 Forecasts = 314.1561 DATE = Jun1978 Forecasts = 314.1561 DATE = May1978 Forecasts = 300.7908 DATE = May1978 Forecasts = 300.7908 DATE = Apr1978 Forecasts = 284.1164 DATE = Apr1978 Forecasts = 284.1164 DATE = Mar1978 Forecasts = 259.8670 DATE = Jul1982 MASONRY = 270.4000 DATE = Jun1982 MASONRY = 262.2000 DATE = May1982 MASONRY = 260.4000 DATE = Apr1982 MASONRY = 244.7000 DATE = Mar1982 MASONRY = 228.7000 DATE = Feb1982 MASONRY = 224.8000 DATE = Jan1982 MASONRY = 214.3000 DATE = Dec1981 MASONRY = 260.2000 DATE = Nov1981 MASONRY = 275.5000 DATE = Oct1981 MASONRY = 282.6000 DATE = Sep1981 MASONRY = 292.7000 DATE = Aug1981 MASONRY = 295.9000 DATE = Jul1981 MASONRY = 291.1000 DATE = Jun1981 MASONRY = 289.3000 DATE = May1981 MASONRY = 283.7000 DATE = Apr1981 MASONRY = 281.0000 DATE = Mar1981 MASONRY = 271.5000 DATE = Feb1981 MASONRY = 258.8000 DATE = Jan1981 MASONRY = 259.2000 DATE = Dec1980 MASONRY = 296.2000 DATE = Nov1980 MASONRY = 307.7000 DATE = Oct1980 MASONRY = 318.5000 DATE = Sep1980 MASONRY = 312.7000 DATE = Aug1980 MASONRY = 314.9000 DATE = Jul1980 MASONRY = 310.7000 DATE = Jun1980 MASONRY = 307.9000 DATE = May1980 MASONRY = 301.7000 DATE = Apr1980 MASONRY = 299.3000 DATE = Mar1980 MASONRY = 292.0000 DATE = Feb1980 MASONRY = 285.8000 DATE = Jan1980 MASONRY = 293.8000 DATE = Dec1979 MASONRY = 321.5000 DATE = Nov1979 MASONRY = 328.7000 DATE = Oct1979 MASONRY = 334.5000 DATE = Sep1979 MASONRY = 327.9000 DATE = Aug1979 MASONRY = 335.2000 DATE = Jul1979 MASONRY = 328.6000 DATE = Jun1979 MASONRY = 325.4000 DATE = May1979 MASONRY = 316.8000 DATE = Apr1979 MASONRY = 307.2000 DATE = Mar1979 MASONRY = 303.5000 DATE = Feb1979 MASONRY = 259.8000 DATE = Jan1979 MASONRY = 263.7000 DATE = Dec1978 MASONRY = 304.4000 DATE = Nov1978 MASONRY = 310.5000 DATE = Oct1978 MASONRY = 316.3000 DATE = Sep1978 MASONRY = 310.6000 DATE = Aug1978 MASONRY = 315.3000 DATE = Jul1978 MASONRY = 306.9000 DATE = Jun1978 MASONRY = 308.3000 DATE = May1978 MASONRY = 295.5000 DATE = Apr1978 MASONRY = 292.7000 DATE = Mar1978 MASONRY = 270.6000 DATE = Feb1978 MASONRY = 237.4000 DATE = Jan1978 MASONRY = 234.3000 DATE = Dec1977 MASONRY = 276.7000 DATE = Nov1977 MASONRY = 286.2000 DATE = Oct1977 MASONRY = 288.7000 DATE = Sep1977 MASONRY = 287.4000 DATE = Aug1977 MASONRY = 290.5000 DATE = Jul1977 MASONRY = 280.8000 DATE = Jun1977 MASONRY = 278.0000 DATE = May1977 MASONRY = 261.5000 DATE = Apr1977 MASONRY = 252.2000 DATE = Mar1977 MASONRY = 235.1000 DATE = Feb1977 MASONRY = 216.3000 DATE = Jan1977 MASONRY = 196.6000 DATE = Jul1983 Upper = 295.58 Lower = 201.45 DATE = Jun1983 Upper = 285.43 Lower = 195.2 DATE = Jun1983 Upper = 285.43 Lower = 195.2 DATE = May1983 Upper = 281.6 Lower = 195.43 DATE = May1983 Upper = 281.6 Lower = 195.43 DATE = Apr1983 Upper = 263.77 Lower = 181.86 DATE = Apr1983 Upper = 263.77 Lower = 181.86 DATE = Mar1983 Upper = 245.53 Lower = 168.1 DATE = Mar1983 Upper = 245.53 Lower = 168.1 DATE = Feb1983 Upper = 239.24 Lower = 166.59 DATE = Feb1983 Upper = 239.24 Lower = 166.59 DATE = Jan1983 Upper = 226.19 Lower = 158.64 DATE = Jan1983 Upper = 226.19 Lower = 158.64 DATE = Dec1982 Upper = 269.32 Lower = 207.3 DATE = Dec1982 Upper = 269.32 Lower = 207.3 DATE = Nov1982 Upper = 281.59 Lower = 225.66 DATE = Nov1982 Upper = 281.59 Lower = 225.66 DATE = Oct1982 Upper = 285.28 Lower = 236.09 DATE = Oct1982 Upper = 285.28 Lower = 236.09 DATE = Sep1982 Upper = 291.39 Lower = 250.43 DATE = Sep1982 Upper = 291.39 Lower = 250.43 DATE = Aug1982 Upper = 289.87 Lower = 257.45 DATE = Jul1983 Upper = 295.5758 Lower = 201.4541 DATE = Jun1983 Upper = 285.4337 Lower = 195.1962 DATE = Jun1983 Upper = 285.4337 Lower = 195.1962 DATE = May1983 Upper = 281.6041 Lower = 195.4258 DATE = May1983 Upper = 281.6041 Lower = 195.4258 DATE = Apr1983 Upper = 263.7741 Lower = 181.8558 DATE = Apr1983 Upper = 263.7741 Lower = 181.8558 DATE = Mar1983 Upper = 245.5271 Lower = 168.1030 DATE = Mar1983 Upper = 245.5271 Lower = 168.1030 DATE = Feb1983 Upper = 239.2412 Lower = 166.5884 DATE = Feb1983 Upper = 239.2412 Lower = 166.5884 DATE = Jan1983 Upper = 226.1875 Lower = 158.6436 DATE = Jan1983 Upper = 226.1875 Lower = 158.6436 DATE = Dec1982 Upper = 269.3235 Lower = 207.3021 DATE = Dec1982 Upper = 269.3235 Lower = 207.3021 DATE = Nov1982 Upper = 281.5894 Lower = 225.6559 DATE = Nov1982 Upper = 281.5894 Lower = 225.6559 DATE = Oct1982 Upper = 285.2821 Lower = 236.0928 DATE = Oct1982 Upper = 285.2821 Lower = 236.0928 DATE = Sep1982 Upper = 291.3937 Lower = 250.4312 DATE = Sep1982 Upper = 291.3937 Lower = 250.4312 DATE = Aug1982 Upper = 289.8740 Lower = 257.4474 DATE = Aug1982 Upper = 289.8740 Lower = 257.4474 DATE = Jul1982 Upper = 280.8692 Lower = 248.4426 DATE = Jul1982 Upper = 280.8692 Lower = 248.4426 DATE = Jun1982 Upper = 279.3953 Lower = 246.9687 DATE = Jun1982 Upper = 279.3953 Lower = 246.9687 DATE = May1982 Upper = 261.8401 Lower = 229.4135 DATE = May1982 Upper = 261.8401 Lower = 229.4135 DATE = Apr1982 Upper = 256.7739 Lower = 224.3473 DATE = Apr1982 Upper = 256.7739 Lower = 224.3473 DATE = Mar1982 Upper = 251.1653 Lower = 218.7387 DATE = Mar1982 Upper = 251.1653 Lower = 218.7387 DATE = Feb1982 Upper = 231.7842 Lower = 199.3576 DATE = Feb1982 Upper = 231.7842 Lower = 199.3576 DATE = Jan1982 Upper = 240.2719 Lower = 207.8453 DATE = Jan1982 Upper = 240.2719 Lower = 207.8453 DATE = Dec1981 Upper = 278.9503 Lower = 246.5237 DATE = Dec1981 Upper = 278.9503 Lower = 246.5237 DATE = Nov1981 Upper = 291.8531 Lower = 259.4265 DATE = Nov1981 Upper = 291.8531 Lower = 259.4265 DATE = Oct1981 Upper = 314.5662 Lower = 282.1396 DATE = Oct1981 Upper = 314.5662 Lower = 282.1396 DATE = Sep1981 Upper = 309.7117 Lower = 277.2851 DATE = Sep1981 Upper = 309.7117 Lower = 277.2851 DATE = Aug1981 Upper = 311.7341 Lower = 279.3075 DATE = Aug1981 Upper = 311.7341 Lower = 279.3075 DATE = Jul1981 Upper = 308.2295 Lower = 275.8029 DATE = Jul1981 Upper = 308.2295 Lower = 275.8029 DATE = Jun1981 Upper = 306.0726 Lower = 273.6460 DATE = Jun1981 Upper = 306.0726 Lower = 273.6460 DATE = May1981 Upper = 299.7478 Lower = 267.3211 DATE = May1981 Upper = 299.7478 Lower = 267.3211 DATE = Apr1981 Upper = 293.5931 Lower = 261.1664 DATE = Apr1981 Upper = 293.5931 Lower = 261.1664 DATE = Mar1981 Upper = 279.3084 Lower = 246.8818 DATE = Mar1981 Upper = 279.3084 Lower = 246.8818 DATE = Feb1981 Upper = 269.4714 Lower = 237.0447 DATE = Feb1981 Upper = 269.4714 Lower = 237.0447 DATE = Jan1981 Upper = 285.4871 Lower = 253.0605 DATE = Jan1981 Upper = 285.4871 Lower = 253.0605 DATE = Dec1980 Upper = 318.0426 Lower = 285.6160 DATE = Dec1980 Upper = 318.0426 Lower = 285.6160 DATE = Nov1980 Upper = 328.7340 Lower = 296.3074 DATE = Nov1980 Upper = 328.7340 Lower = 296.3074 DATE = Oct1980 Upper = 334.6935 Lower = 302.2669 DATE = Oct1980 Upper = 334.6935 Lower = 302.2669 DATE = Sep1980 Upper = 324.5295 Lower = 292.1029 DATE = Sep1980 Upper = 324.5295 Lower = 292.1029 DATE = Aug1980 Upper = 333.0445 Lower = 300.6179 DATE = Aug1980 Upper = 333.0445 Lower = 300.6179 DATE = Jul1980 Upper = 327.7967 Lower = 295.3701 DATE = Jul1980 Upper = 327.7967 Lower = 295.3701 DATE = Jun1980 Upper = 327.8884 Lower = 295.4618 DATE = Jun1980 Upper = 327.8884 Lower = 295.4618 DATE = May1980 Upper = 323.6261 Lower = 291.1995 DATE = May1980 Upper = 323.6261 Lower = 291.1995 DATE = Apr1980 Upper = 320.3439 Lower = 287.9173 DATE = Apr1980 Upper = 320.3439 Lower = 287.9173 DATE = Mar1980 Upper = 346.7928 Lower = 314.3662 DATE = Mar1980 Upper = 346.7928 Lower = 314.3662 DATE = Feb1980 Upper = 303.0626 Lower = 270.6359 DATE = Feb1980 Upper = 303.0626 Lower = 270.6359 DATE = Jan1980 Upper = 297.4454 Lower = 265.0188 DATE = Jan1980 Upper = 297.4454 Lower = 265.0188 DATE = Dec1979 Upper = 338.6181 Lower = 306.1915 DATE = Dec1979 Upper = 338.6181 Lower = 306.1915 DATE = Nov1979 Upper = 344.9263 Lower = 312.4997 DATE = Nov1979 Upper = 344.9263 Lower = 312.4997 DATE = Oct1979 Upper = 350.1712 Lower = 317.7445 DATE = Oct1979 Upper = 350.1712 Lower = 317.7445 DATE = Sep1979 Upper = 346.8675 Lower = 314.4409 DATE = Sep1979 Upper = 346.8675 Lower = 314.4409 DATE = Aug1979 Upper = 352.3988 Lower = 319.9722 DATE = Aug1979 Upper = 352.3988 Lower = 319.9722 DATE = Jul1979 Upper = 341.0011 Lower = 308.5744 DATE = Jul1979 Upper = 341.0011 Lower = 308.5744 DATE = Jun1979 Upper = 343.6090 Lower = 311.1824 DATE = Jun1979 Upper = 343.6090 Lower = 311.1824 DATE = May1979 Upper = 330.4549 Lower = 298.0283 DATE = May1979 Upper = 330.4549 Lower = 298.0283 DATE = Apr1979 Upper = 339.2395 Lower = 306.8129 DATE = Apr1979 Upper = 339.2395 Lower = 306.8129 DATE = Mar1979 Upper = 310.8491 Lower = 278.4225 DATE = Mar1979 Upper = 310.8491 Lower = 278.4225 DATE = Feb1979 Upper = 282.8452 Lower = 250.4186 DATE = Feb1979 Upper = 282.8452 Lower = 250.4186 DATE = Jan1979 Upper = 277.3439 Lower = 244.9173 DATE = Jan1979 Upper = 277.3439 Lower = 244.9173 DATE = Dec1978 Upper = 318.3144 Lower = 285.8878 DATE = Dec1978 Upper = 318.3144 Lower = 285.8878 DATE = Nov1978 Upper = 328.8931 Lower = 296.4664 DATE = Nov1978 Upper = 328.8931 Lower = 296.4664 DATE = Oct1978 Upper = 328.6183 Lower = 296.1917 DATE = Oct1978 Upper = 328.6183 Lower = 296.1917 DATE = Sep1978 Upper = 328.7574 Lower = 296.3308 DATE = Sep1978 Upper = 328.7574 Lower = 296.3308 DATE = Aug1978 Upper = 333.9389 Lower = 301.5123 DATE = Aug1978 Upper = 333.9389 Lower = 301.5123 DATE = Jul1978 Upper = 328.5163 Lower = 296.0896 DATE = Jul1978 Upper = 328.5163 Lower = 296.0896 DATE = Jun1978 Upper = 330.3694 Lower = 297.9428 DATE = Jun1978 Upper = 330.3694 Lower = 297.9428 DATE = May1978 Upper = 317.0041 Lower = 284.5775 DATE = May1978 Upper = 317.0041 Lower = 284.5775 DATE = Apr1978 Upper = 300.3297 Lower = 267.9030 DATE = Apr1978 Upper = 300.3297 Lower = 267.9030 DATE = Mar1978 Upper = 276.0803 Lower = 243.6537
Model and Forecasts for MASONRY

DATE = Jul1983 Forecasts = 248.5150 DATE = Jun1983 Forecasts = 240.3150 DATE = Jun1983 Forecasts = 240.3150 DATE = May1983 Forecasts = 238.5150 DATE = May1983 Forecasts = 238.5150 DATE = Apr1983 Forecasts = 222.8149 DATE = Apr1983 Forecasts = 222.8149 DATE = Mar1983 Forecasts = 206.8150 DATE = Mar1983 Forecasts = 206.8150 DATE = Feb1983 Forecasts = 202.9148 DATE = Feb1983 Forecasts = 202.9148 DATE = Jan1983 Forecasts = 192.4156 DATE = Jan1983 Forecasts = 192.4156 DATE = Dec1982 Forecasts = 238.3128 DATE = Dec1982 Forecasts = 238.3128 DATE = Nov1982 Forecasts = 253.6226 DATE = Nov1982 Forecasts = 253.6226 DATE = Oct1982 Forecasts = 260.6875 DATE = Oct1982 Forecasts = 260.6875 DATE = Sep1982 Forecasts = 270.9125 DATE = Sep1982 Forecasts = 270.9125 DATE = Aug1982 Forecasts = 273.6607 DATE = Jul1983 Upper 95% = 295.5758 Lower 95% = 201.4541 DATE = Jun1983 Upper 95% = 285.4337 Lower 95% = 195.1962 DATE = Jun1983 Upper 95% = 285.4337 Lower 95% = 195.1962 DATE = May1983 Upper 95% = 281.6041 Lower 95% = 195.4258 DATE = May1983 Upper 95% = 281.6041 Lower 95% = 195.4258 DATE = Apr1983 Upper 95% = 263.7741 Lower 95% = 181.8558 DATE = Apr1983 Upper 95% = 263.7741 Lower 95% = 181.8558 DATE = Mar1983 Upper 95% = 245.5271 Lower 95% = 168.1030 DATE = Mar1983 Upper 95% = 245.5271 Lower 95% = 168.1030 DATE = Feb1983 Upper 95% = 239.2412 Lower 95% = 166.5884 DATE = Feb1983 Upper 95% = 239.2412 Lower 95% = 166.5884 DATE = Jan1983 Upper 95% = 226.1875 Lower 95% = 158.6436 DATE = Jan1983 Upper 95% = 226.1875 Lower 95% = 158.6436 DATE = Dec1982 Upper 95% = 269.3235 Lower 95% = 207.3021 DATE = Dec1982 Upper 95% = 269.3235 Lower 95% = 207.3021 DATE = Nov1982 Upper 95% = 281.5894 Lower 95% = 225.6559 DATE = Nov1982 Upper 95% = 281.5894 Lower 95% = 225.6559 DATE = Oct1982 Upper 95% = 285.2821 Lower 95% = 236.0928 DATE = Oct1982 Upper 95% = 285.2821 Lower 95% = 236.0928 DATE = Sep1982 Upper 95% = 291.3937 Lower 95% = 250.4312 DATE = Sep1982 Upper 95% = 291.3937 Lower 95% = 250.4312 DATE = Aug1982 Upper 95% = 289.8740 Lower 95% = 257.4474
Forecasts for MASONRY